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St Alban's Bulldogs (15-4)

Region: DC IAC

State: DC

Coach: Malcolm Lester

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (8-11)	MD A MIAA	93.3		W	7-	5		0.150
3/16	vs. St Mary's Annapolis # (9-8)	MD A MIAA	96.6	9	W	4-	3		0.300
3/21	at Collegiate School (14-4)	VA 1 VIP	91.1		L	4-	11		-0.375
3/23	at St Christopher's (6-10)	VA 1 VIP	86.2		W	15-	3		0.000
3/27	ST MARYS RYKEN (17-2)	DC WCAC	97.1		L	2-	5		-0.275
3/30	at Landon (15-5)	DC IAC	97.5	6	L	4-	10		-0.200
4/04	EPISCOPAL HS (5-12)	DC IAC	88.1		W	9-	5		0.050
4/07	POTOMAC SCHOOL (5-11)	DC MAC	84.0		W	18-	6		0.000
4/09	at Bishop Ireton (11-7)	DC WCAC	87.9		W	10-	2		0.050
4/13	BULLIS (11-6)	DC IAC	93.0		W	5-	4	ot	0.150
4/17	THOS JEFFERSON (7-7)	VA Liberty	89.3		W	12-	4		0.025
4/20	ST STEPHEN/ST AGNES (16-5)	DC IAC	97.4	7	W	7-	2		0.250
4/23	WESTFIELD (15-6)	VA Concord	94.3		W	11-	4		0.150
4/27	at Georgetown Prep (20-1)	DC IAC	99.3	3	L	3-	10		-0.150
4/30	SIDWELL FRIENDS (10-6)	DC MAC	88.2		W	12-	2		0.000
5/02	NORTHERN/CALV CTY (10-6)	MD 32 East	84.3		W	13-	3		0.000
5/05	EPISCOPAL HS (5-12)	DC IAC	88.1		W	14-	6		0.050
5/09	at Landon (15-5)	DC IAC	97.5	6	W	9-	4		0.300
5/12	ST STEPHEN/ST AGNES (16-5)	DC IAC	97.4	7	W	7-	6	2ot	1.250
# Neutral site			89.9						1.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Archbishop Spalding	7-	5	2	4	–	-1.33	-2.16
3/16	N	St Mary's Annapolis	4-	3	1	-2	+	0.00	3.07
3/21	A	Collegiate School	4-	11	-7	5	–––	0.93		11.88
3/23	A	St Christopher's	15-	3	12	10	+	0.93		2.28
3/27	H	St Marys Ryken	2-	5	-3	1	––	-1.41		-4.24
3/30	A	Landon	4-	10	-6	-2	––	1.33	-4.07
4/04	H	Episcopal HS	9-	5	4	8	–	-1.33	-3.54
4/07	H	Potomac School	18-	6	12	14	–	-1.41		-2.30
4/09	A	Bishop Ireton	10-	2	8	8		1.41		0.47
4/13	H	Bullis	5-	4	1	4	–	-1.33	-2.89
4/17	H	Thos Jefferson	12-	4	8	9		-1.26		-0.82
4/20	H	St Stephen/St Agnes	7-	2	5	0	++	-1.33	4.61
4/23	H	Westfield	11-	4	7	4	+	-1.26		3.12
4/27	A	Georgetown Prep	3-	10	-7	-4	–	1.33	-3.01
4/30	H	Sidwell Friends	12-	2	10	10		-1.41		-0.11
5/02	H	Northern/Calv Cty	13-	3	10	14	–	-1.03		-3.56
5/05	H	Episcopal HS	14-	6	8	8		-1.33	0.46
5/09	A	Landon	9-	4	5	-2	+++	1.33	6.93
5/12	H	St Stephen/St Agnes	7-	6	1	0		-1.33	0.61
									0.00	-17.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	A	St Christopher's	15-	3	-2.28
4/07	H	Potomac School	18-	6	2.30
4/30	H	Sidwell Friends	12-	2	0.11
5/02	H	Northern/Calv Cty	13-	3	3.56
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	73
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.88		Natl Power Rank	69
Natl SOS Rating	89.71		Natl SOS Rank	159
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	76
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	283
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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