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Stafford Indians (1-14)

Region: VA Comw

State: VA

Coach: Brian Fuller

Previous Year Team Pages: • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/12	POTOMAC-DUMFRIES (11-6)	VA Card	82.4	10	L	2-	6		-0.125
3/14	NORTH STAFFORD (17-3)	VA Comw	92.5	1	L	0-	18		0.000
3/19	OSBOURN (12-7)	VA Cedar	84.8	7	L	2-	10		-0.075
3/21	ALBEMARLE (14-7)	VA Comw	89.4	2	L	3-	22		0.000
3/28	at Colonial Forge (9-7)	VA Comw	86.0	5	L	4-	12		0.000
3/30	FREEDOM-WOODBRIDGE (0-12)	VA Card	68.4		W	10-	2		0.000
4/04	at Mountain View (5-10)	VA Comw	78.3		L	11-	13		-0.100
4/18	at North Stafford (17-3)	VA Comw	92.5	1	L	2-	21		0.000
4/23	at Brooke Point (7-9)	VA Comw	82.4	9	L	6-	11		-0.025
4/25	at Albemarle (14-7)	VA Comw	89.4	2	L	0-	17		0.000
5/02	COLONIAL FORGE (9-7)	VA Comw	86.0	5	L	4-	12		0.000
5/07	MOUNTAIN VIEW (5-10)	VA Comw	78.3		L	6-	9		-0.175
5/09	BROOKE POINT (7-9)	VA Comw	82.4	9	L	6-	16		-0.100
5/10	HYLTON (6-8)	VA Card	78.0		L	1-	5		-0.200
5/12	at Colonial Forge (9-7)	VA Comw	86.0	5	L	0-	17		0.000
			83.1						-0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Potomac-Dumfries	2-	6	-4	-5		-1.69	0.66
3/14	H	North Stafford	0-	18	-18	-17		-1.69	-1.07
3/19	H	Osbourn	2-	10	-8	-7		-1.69	-0.68
3/21	H	Albemarle	3-	22	-19	-15	–	-1.69	-3.72
3/28	A	Colonial Forge	4-	12	-8	-13	++	1.69	5.28
3/30	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	10-	2	8	11	–	-1.69	-3.00
4/04	A	Mountain View	11-	13	-2	-6	+	1.69	3.91
4/18	A	North Stafford	2-	21	-19	-20		1.69	1.31
4/23	A	Brooke Point	6-	11	-5	-9	++	1.69	4.13
4/25	A	Albemarle	0-	17	-17	-19		1.69	1.66
5/02	H	Colonial Forge	4-	12	-8	-10		-1.69	1.90
5/07	H	Mountain View	6-	9	-3	-3		-1.69	-0.47
5/09	H	Brooke Point	6-	16	-10	-6	––	-1.69	-4.25
5/10	H	Hylton	1-	5	-4	-2		-1.69	-1.97
5/12	A	Colonial Forge	0-	17	-17	-13	–	1.69	-3.72
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	North Stafford	0-	18	1.07
3/21	H	Albemarle	3-	22	3.72
4/18	A	North Stafford	2-	21	-1.31
4/25	A	Albemarle	0-	17	-1.66
5/09	H	Brooke Point	6-	16	0.00
5/12	A	Colonial Forge	0-	17	3.72
10-goal correction: 0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2251
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.90		Natl Power Rank	2251
Natl SOS Rating	75.81		Natl SOS Rank	1307
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	2500
W-L Pct Rating	0.07		W-L Pct Rank	2514
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-11		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-14		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.3

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