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St Bernard-Fitchburg Saints (12-10)

Conference: CentMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Steve Gaudreau

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Northbridge (7-13)	MA 2	82.6		W	6-	4		0.175
4/10	at Westborough (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	L	3-	11		-0.125
4/21	NORTHBRIDGE (7-13)	MA 2	82.6		W	13-	12		0.150
4/24	NORTH MIDDLESEX (5-14)	MA 2	83.6		L	5-	6		-0.375
4/26	WACHUSETT (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	L	11-	12	ot	-0.250
4/28	MARLBOROUGH (10-9)	MA 2	84.2	10	W	9-	6		0.150
4/30	ST JOHNS SHREWSBURY (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	L	4-	16		-0.075
5/01	ALGONQUIN (13-9)	MA 2	89.1	3	W	6-	5		0.300
5/03	at Marian (4-14)	MA 3	77.1		W	17-	6		0.000
5/05	LEOMINSTER (4-14)	MA 2	80.7		W	12-	8		0.075
5/08	WESTBOROUGH (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	L	5-	6		-0.150
5/10	at St Johns Shrewsbury (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	L	5-	7		-0.075
5/12	ST PETER MARIAN (11-9)	MA 2	87.4	8	W	15-	9		0.225
5/14	at St Peter Marian (11-9)	MA 2	87.4	8	L	4-	5	ot	-0.250
5/15	at North Middlesex (5-14)	MA 2	83.6		W	9-	5		0.150
5/17	MARIAN (4-14)	MA 3	77.1		W	20-	5		0.000
5/21	at Leominster (4-14)	MA 2	80.7		W	15-	3		0.100
5/22	at Algonquin (13-9)	MA 2	89.1	3	L	6-	7		-0.175
5/23	at Groton-Dunstable (13-7)	MA 2	87.7	6	W	6-	5		0.250
5/24	at Wachusett (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	L	8-	10		-0.225
5/29	at Blackstone Valley V-T (17-4)	MA 2	84.5		W	18-	8		0.200
6/02	at St Johns Shrewsbury (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	L	4-	12		-0.075
			83.8						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Northbridge	6-	4	2	3		0.32	-1.07
4/10	A	Westborough	3-	11	-8	-5	–	0.32	-3.33
4/21	H	Northbridge	13-	12	1	4	–	-0.32	-2.70
4/24	H	North Middlesex	5-	6	-1	5	––	-0.32	-5.71
4/26	H	Wachusett	11-	12	-1	0		-0.32	-0.67
4/28	H	Marlborough	9-	6	3	4		-0.32	-0.82
4/30	H	St Johns Shrewsbury	4-	16	-12	-7	––	-0.32	-5.16
5/01	H	Algonquin	6-	5	1	-2	+	-0.32	3.46
5/03	A	Marian	17-	6	11	10		0.74		1.24
5/05	H	Leominster	12-	8	4	7	–	-0.32	-3.11
5/08	H	Westborough	5-	6	-1	-4	+	-0.32	3.04
5/10	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	5-	7	-2	-7	++	0.32	5.48
5/12	H	St Peter Marian	15-	9	6	1	++	-0.32	4.93
5/14	A	St Peter Marian	4-	5	-1	0		0.32	-1.44
5/15	A	North Middlesex	9-	5	4	4		0.32	-0.08
5/17	H	Marian	20-	5	15	11	+	-0.74		3.77
5/21	A	Leominster	15-	3	12	6	++	0.32	5.53
5/22	A	Algonquin	6-	7	-1	-3	+	0.32	2.09
5/23	A	Groton-Dunstable	6-	5	1	0		0.32	1.11
5/24	A	Wachusett	8-	10	-2	-1		0.32	-1.03
5/29	A	Blackstone Valley V-T	18-	8	10	2	+++	0.74		7.69
6/02	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	4-	12	-8	-7		0.32	-0.52
									0.00	12.70

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/30	H	St Johns Shrewsbury	4-	16	2.00
5/03	A	Marian	17-	6	-1.24
5/17	H	Marian	20-	5	-3.77
5/21	A	Leominster	15-	3	-2.00
5/29	A	Blackstone Valley V-T	18-	8	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	875
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.57		Natl Power Rank	875
Natl SOS Rating	76.98		Natl SOS Rank	1185
Natl Quality Win Rating	n/a		Natl Quality Win Rank	n/a
W-L Pct Rating	0.55		W-L Pct Rank	1098
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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