| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Nick Ratcliffe |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/13 | at Falls Church (1-11) | VA Nationl | 71.7 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.100 |
3/21 | POTOMAC FALLS (7-6) | VA Dulles | 79.4 | | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.150 |
3/23 | CENTREVILLE (4-9) | VA Concord | 83.8 | | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.225 |
3/27 | at Madison (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.0 | 9 | L | 4- | 14 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | MARSHALL (2-10) | VA Liberty | 78.9 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.150 |
4/09 | at McLean (5-11) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.075 |
4/18 | LOUDOUN VALLEY (9-8) | VA Dulles | 81.8 | | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.200 |
4/24 | LANGLEY (12-4) | VA Liberty | 93.0 | 5 | L | 2- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/26 | at Thos Jefferson (7-7) | VA Liberty | 88.0 | | L | 9- | 15 | | -0.050 |
4/27 | at Broad Run (15-2) | VA Dulles | 86.9 | | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.100 |
4/30 | at South Lakes (4-8) | VA Liberty | 82.3 | | L | 9- | 15 | | -0.225 |
5/02 | WOODSON (14-6) | VA Liberty | 93.1 | 3 | L | 6- | 12 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | at Langley (12-4) | VA Liberty | 93.0 | 5 | L | 2- | 14 | | 0.000 |
| | 85.2 | | | | | | -0.07 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | A | Falls Church | 12- | 2 | 10 | 6 | ++ | 1.19 | 4.16 | |
3/21 | H | Potomac Falls | 9- | 7 | 2 | 4 | – | -1.56 | | -2.22 |
3/23 | H | Centreville | 9- | 11 | -2 | -1 | | -1.19 | -1.06 | |
3/27 | A | Madison | 4- | 14 | -10 | -11 | | 1.19 | 0.63 | |
3/30 | H | Marshall | 8- | 5 | 3 | 4 | | -1.19 | -0.60 | |
4/09 | A | McLean | 4- | 11 | -7 | -7 | | 1.19 | -0.26 | |
4/18 | H | Loudoun Valley | 13- | 10 | 3 | 2 | | -1.56 | | 1.13 |
4/24 | H | Langley | 2- | 17 | -15 | -10 | –– | -1.19 | -4.84 | |
4/26 | A | Thos Jefferson | 9- | 15 | -6 | -8 | | 1.19 | 1.96 | |
4/27 | A | Broad Run | 5- | 14 | -9 | -6 | – | 1.56 | | -2.64 |
4/30 | A | South Lakes | 9- | 15 | -6 | -1 | –– | 1.19 | -4.56 | |
5/02 | H | Woodson | 6- | 12 | -6 | -10 | ++ | -1.19 | 4.03 | |
5/07 | A | Langley | 2- | 14 | -12 | -13 | | 1.19 | 0.54 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -3.73 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/13 | A | Falls Church | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
3/27 | A | Madison | 4- | 14 | -0.63 |
4/24 | H | Langley | 2- | 17 | 5.00 |
5/07 | A | Langley | 2- | 14 | -0.54 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.29 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1571 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.09 | | Natl Power Rank | 1571 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 79.46 | | Natl SOS Rank | 947 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.07 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1475 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.31 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1974 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -8.0 |
|
