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State College Little Lions (9-7)

Region: PA CSNLL

State: PA

Coach: Rick Johnson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	SELINSGROVE (2-6)	PA CSNLL	67.6		W	11-	5		0.000
4/07	HERSHEY (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	L	1-	8		-0.075
4/12	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		L	1-	8		-0.275
4/14	at Dallastown (6-12)	PA York 1	73.6		W	7-	6		0.275
4/19	NAZARETH HS (7-9)	PA PVLL-LV	83.3		W	10-	4		0.375
4/19	LEWISBURG (8-4)	PA CSNLL	78.6		W	8-	7	2ot	0.300
4/23	at Columbia-Montour (5-12)	PA CSNLL	69.8		W	6-	3		0.050
4/26	COCALICO (15-5)	PA LL04	85.1	7	L	5-	7		-0.125
4/28	at Chambersburg (9-8)	PA Mid 1	80.3		L	2-	11		-0.075
5/03	at Selinsgrove (2-6)	PA CSNLL	67.6		W	14-	4		0.025
5/07	COLUMBIA-MONTOUR (5-12)	PA CSNLL	69.8		W	13-	1		0.000
5/08	at Lewisburg (8-4)	PA CSNLL	78.6		W	7-	6		0.375
5/12	at Northern York (13-4)	PA York 1	83.0		L	2-	8		-0.025
5/18	BISHOP MCDEVITT (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	9-	3		0.100
5/19	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	84.8		L	2-	9		-0.075
5/30	at Susquehannock (16-0)	PA York 1	89.5	3	L	5-	16		0.000
			76.9						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Selinsgrove	11-	5	6	12	–––	-1.55	-6.08
4/07	H	Hershey	1-	8	-7	-7		-1.55	-0.19
4/12	H	Central Dauphin East	1-	8	-7	1	–––	-1.55	-7.85
4/14	A	Dallastown	7-	6	1	-1	+	1.55	2.07
4/19	H	Nazareth HS	10-	4	6	-5	+++	-1.42		10.98
4/19	H	Lewisburg	8-	7	1	-2	+	-1.55	2.94
4/23	A	Columbia-Montour	6-	3	3	8	––	1.55	-4.96
4/26	H	Cocalico	5-	7	-2	-5	+	-1.55	2.62
4/28	A	Chambersburg	2-	11	-9	-7		1.55	-1.63
5/03	A	Selinsgrove	14-	4	10	9		1.55	1.01
5/07	H	Columbia-Montour	13-	1	12	11		-1.55	0.94
5/08	A	Lewisburg	7-	6	1	-5	+++	1.55	6.03
5/12	A	Northern York	2-	8	-6	-9	+	1.55	2.75
5/18	H	Bishop McDevitt	9-	3	6	6		-1.55	0.07
5/19	H	Mercersburg Academy	2-	9	-7	-7		-1.42		-0.47
5/30	A	Susquehannock	5-	16	-11	-13	+	1.55	2.29
									0.00	10.51

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/03	A	Selinsgrove	14-	4	0.00
5/07	H	Columbia-Montour	13-	1	-0.94
5/30	A	Susquehannock	5-	16	-2.29
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2007
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.88		Natl Power Rank	2007
Natl SOS Rating	65.69		Natl SOS Rank	2208
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	318
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1047
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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