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St Francis Red Raiders (16-3)

Region: NY P Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Mike Greco

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	vs. McQuaid Jesuit # (13-8)	NY B Sec 5	91.3		L	5-	7		-0.300
3/28	at Williamsville East (9-10)	NY B Sec 6	84.9		L	5-	8		-0.325
4/03	IROQUOIS (6-13)	NY B Sec 6	81.6		W	11-	7		0.050
4/11	at Archbishop Curley (17-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9		L	3-	16		-0.200
4/13	at Bishop O'Connell (9-10)	DC WCAC	88.4		W	6-	5		0.150
4/19	WEST SENECA EAST (13-5)	NY B Sec 6	90.2	7	W	5-	4		0.200
4/22	CANISIUS (5-13)	NY P Sec 6	83.8		W	8-	4		0.125
4/26	at St Joseph Collegiate (6-11)	NY P Sec 6	83.0		W	12-	8		0.175
5/02	TIMON ST JUDE (9-10)	NY P Sec 6	87.5		W	12-	5		0.175
5/04	NICHOLS (3-15)	NY P Sec 6	79.7		W	12-	1		0.050
5/06	MCQUAID JESUIT (13-8)	NY B Sec 5	91.3		W	10-	8		0.175
5/08	ST JOSEPH COLLEGIATE (6-11)	NY P Sec 6	83.0		W	10-	2		0.100
5/10	at Canisius (5-13)	NY P Sec 6	83.8		W	12-	8		0.200
5/16	at Jamestown (2-14)	NY A Sec 6	72.1		W	17-	4		0.000
5/17	at Grand Island (7-10)	NY B Sec 6	83.9		W	5-	2		0.200
5/19	at Timon St Jude (9-10)	NY P Sec 6	87.5		W	7-	6		0.225
5/22	at Nichols (3-15)	NY P Sec 6	79.7		W	14-	5		0.100
5/29	ST JOSEPH COLLEGIATE (6-11)	NY P Sec 6	83.0		W	9-	6		0.100
5/31	vs. Timon St Jude # (9-10)	NY P Sec 6	87.5		W	8-	4		1.200
# Neutral site			85.7						2.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	N	McQuaid Jesuit	5-	7	-2	2	––	0.00		-4.05
3/28	A	Williamsville East	5-	8	-3	3	––	1.39	-5.59
4/03	H	Iroquois	11-	7	4	8	–	-1.39	-3.70
4/11	A	Archbishop Curley	3-	16	-13	-2	–––	1.41		11.00
4/13	A	Bishop O'Connell	6-	5	1	4	–	1.44		-2.51
4/19	H	West Seneca East	5-	4	1	2		-1.39	-1.25
4/22	H	Canisius	8-	4	4	5		-1.39	-0.95
4/26	A	St Joseph Collegiate	12-	8	4	3		1.39	0.64
5/02	H	Timon St Jude	12-	5	7	3	+	-1.39	3.52
5/04	H	Nichols	12-	1	11	8	+	-1.39	2.58
5/06	H	McQuaid Jesuit	10-	8	2	3		-1.26		-1.31
5/08	H	St Joseph Collegiate	10-	2	8	6		-1.39	1.86
5/10	A	Canisius	12-	8	4	2		1.39	1.83
5/16	A	Jamestown	17-	4	13	15	–	1.39	-2.06
5/17	A	Grand Island	5-	2	3	2		1.39	0.72
5/19	A	Timon St Jude	7-	6	1	1		1.39	0.30
5/22	A	Nichols	14-	5	9	6	+	1.39	3.36
5/29	H	St Joseph Collegiate	9-	6	3	6	–	-1.39	-3.14
5/31	N	Timon St Jude	8-	4	4	2		0.00	1.91
									0.00	-18.88

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	A	Archbishop Curley	3-	16	3.00
5/04	H	Nichols	12-	1	-1.00
5/16	A	Jamestown	17-	4	2.06
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	468
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.32		Natl Power Rank	468
Natl SOS Rating	80.93		Natl SOS Rank	794
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	9
W-L Pct Rating	0.84		W-L Pct Rank	166
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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