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Stratford Spartans (14-5)

Region: TX 2 So-West

State: TX

Coach: Matt Carr

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/06	at Strake Jesuit (11-13)	TX 1 South	86.2		L	6-	10		-0.225
2/14	at Episcopal Houston (14-3)	TX 1 South	93.6		L	3-	9		-0.025
2/21	at Kingwood (5-9)	TX 1 South	82.2		L	5-	8		-0.325
2/24	at Klein Oak (2-10)	TX 2 So-East	73.1		W	16-	2		0.000
2/28	MEMORIAL-HOUSTON (7-8)	TX 2 So-East	78.8		W	6-	3		0.025
3/03	CY-FAIR (16-3)	TX 2 So-West	90.6	2	L	4-	10		-0.175
3/07	at Klein (6-7)	TX 2 So-East	79.8		W	8-	7	ot	0.150
3/20	at Cinco Ranch (6-7)	TX 2 So-West	77.9		W	13-	9		0.075
3/22	at Katy-Taylor (9-6)	TX 2 So-West	81.2		W	14-	4		0.175
3/24	CLEAR LAKE (6-6)	TX 2 So-East	78.6		W	17-	4		0.050
3/29	at St Thomas (1-12)	TX 2 So-East	72.2		W	14-	1		0.000
4/04	WESTSIDE (4-7)	TX 2 So-West	77.7		W	8-	5		0.025
4/11	BELLAIRE (2-11)	TX 2 So-East	75.9		W	10-	7		0.025
4/13	at Memorial-Houston (7-8)	TX 2 So-East	78.8		W	14-	3		0.075
4/16	at Fort Bend County (7-7)	TX 2 So-West	77.5		W	10-	1		0.050
4/21	KLEIN (6-7)	TX 2 So-East	79.8		W	12-	2		0.100
4/28	CINCO RANCH (6-7)	TX 2 So-West	77.9		W	14-	5		0.025
4/29	at Cy-Fair (16-3)	TX 2 So-West	90.6	2	W	12-	9		0.400
5/05	vs. Highland Park II # (14-2)	TX 2 No-West	92.5	1	L	5-	13		-0.125
# Neutral site			83.1						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/06	A	Strake Jesuit	6-	10	-4	-1	–	1.24		-2.67
2/14	A	Episcopal Houston	3-	9	-6	-9	+	1.24		2.72
2/21	A	Kingwood	5-	8	-3	3	––	1.24		-5.72
2/24	A	Klein Oak	16-	2	14	13		1.08	1.00
2/28	H	Memorial-Houston	6-	3	3	9	–––	-1.08	-6.00
3/03	H	Cy-Fair	4-	10	-6	-3	–	-1.08	-2.64
3/07	A	Klein	8-	7	1	4	–	1.08	-2.68
3/20	A	Cinco Ranch	13-	9	4	7	–	1.08	-3.03
3/22	A	Katy-Taylor	14-	4	10	3	+++	1.08	6.65
3/24	H	Clear Lake	17-	4	13	8	++	-1.08	4.78
3/29	A	St Thomas	14-	1	13	14		1.08	-0.88
4/04	H	Westside	8-	5	3	9	––	-1.08	-5.76
4/11	H	Bellaire	10-	7	3	9	––	-1.08	-5.95
4/13	A	Memorial-Houston	14-	3	11	7	++	1.08	4.17
4/16	A	Fort Bend County	10-	1	9	8		1.08	1.28
4/21	H	Klein	12-	2	10	6	++	-1.08	4.15
4/28	H	Cinco Ranch	14-	5	9	9		-1.08	-0.19
4/29	A	Cy-Fair	12-	9	3	-6	+++	1.08	8.52
5/05	N	Highland Park II	5-	13	-8	-5	–	0.00	-3.41
									0.00	-5.68

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/24	A	Klein Oak	16-	2	-1.00
3/22	A	Katy-Taylor	14-	4	0.00
3/24	H	Clear Lake	17-	4	-3.00
3/29	A	St Thomas	14-	1	0.88
4/13	A	Memorial-Houston	14-	3	-1.00
4/21	H	Klein	12-	2	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1025
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.13		Natl Power Rank	1025
Natl SOS Rating	76.07		Natl SOS Rank	1277
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	813
W-L Pct Rating	0.74		W-L Pct Rank	463
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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