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St Joseph-Trumbull Cadets (10-9)

Conference: FCIAC

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Joe Izzo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	FAIRFIELD-LUDLOWE (8-9)	CT M	90.0		L	7-	9		-0.325
4/10	at Bridgeport Central (2-12)	CT L	74.9		W	19-	3		0.000
4/17	vs. Staples-Westport # (6-10)	CT M	87.8		W	5-	3		0.175
4/19	at Masuk-Monroe (8-9)	CT M	87.7		W	12-	5		0.250
4/20	TRUMBULL (10-9)	CT L	91.1		L	6-	10		-0.325
4/23	TRINITY CATHOLIC (0-16)	CT S	72.5		W	19-	1		0.000
4/25	at New Canaan (16-6)	CT M	96.4	6	L	2-	12		-0.050
4/28	FAIRFIELD-WARDE (4-12)	CT M	83.8		W	13-	7		0.050
5/01	BRIEN MCMAHON-NORWALK (15-4)	CT M	95.4	9	L	3-	13		-0.200
5/03	at Darien (19-3)	CT M	98.8	1	L	2-	13		0.000
5/08	WILTON (10-10)	CT M	93.5		L	6-	9		-0.200
5/14	DANBURY (9-8)	CT L	88.5		L	7-	8		-0.375
5/18	at Greenwich HS (18-4)	CT L	97.0	3	L	4-	12		-0.025
5/19	at Brookfield (6-11)	CT M	85.3		W	19-	7		0.125
5/21	IMMACULATE DANBURY (1-13)	CT S	79.2		W	16-	0		0.000
5/25	at North Haven (7-9)	CT M	85.4		W	11-	3		0.150
6/01	at Suffield HS (12-6)	CT S	87.5		W	16-	7		0.175
6/06	at Old Lyme (12-3)	CT S	88.1		W	12-	9		0.200
6/07	vs. Barlow-Redding # (16-6)	CT S	95.3		L	6-	13		-0.125
# Neutral site			86.1						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Fairfield-Ludlowe	7-	9	-2	3	––	-1.70	-5.12
4/10	A	Bridgeport Central	19-	3	16	12	+	1.70	3.50
4/17	N	Staples-Westport	5-	3	2	3		0.00	-0.92
4/19	A	Masuk-Monroe	12-	5	7	0	+++	1.70	6.84
4/20	H	Trumbull	6-	10	-4	3	–––	-1.70	-6.59
4/23	H	Trinity Catholic	19-	1	18	18		-1.70	0.23
4/25	A	New Canaan	2-	12	-10	-8	–	1.70	-2.02
4/28	H	Fairfield-Warde	13-	7	6	8		-1.70	-1.76
5/01	H	Brien McMahon-Norwalk	3-	13	-10	-2	–––	-1.70	-7.89
5/03	A	Darien	2-	13	-11	-12		1.70	1.00
5/08	H	Wilton	6-	9	-3	-2		-1.70	-0.86
5/14	H	Danbury	7-	8	-1	5	–––	-1.70	-6.05
5/18	A	Greenwich HS	4-	12	-8	-9		1.70	0.77
5/19	A	Brookfield	19-	7	12	5	+++	1.70	7.08
5/21	H	Immaculate Danbury	16-	0	16	12	++	-1.70	4.15
5/25	A	North Haven	11-	3	8	4	+	1.70	3.63
6/01	A	Suffield HS	16-	7	9	3	++	1.70	5.96
6/06	A	Old Lyme	12-	9	3	2		1.70	0.54
6/07	N	Barlow-Redding	6-	13	-7	-5	–	0.00	-2.49
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Bridgeport Central	19-	3	-3.50
4/23	H	Trinity Catholic	19-	1	-0.23
4/25	A	New Canaan	2-	12	0.00
5/01	H	Brien McMahon-Norwalk	3-	13	0.00
5/03	A	Darien	2-	13	-1.00
5/19	A	Brookfield	19-	7	-2.00
5/21	H	Immaculate Danbury	16-	0	-4.15
10-goal correction: -0.57

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	613
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.98		Natl Power Rank	613
Natl SOS Rating	82.06		Natl SOS Rank	664
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2159
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1190
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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