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St Mary's Annapolis Saints (9-8)

Region: MD A MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Matt Hogan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at St Vincent Pallotti (9-9)	MD B MIAA	85.0		W	17-	8		0.000
3/16	vs. St Alban's # (15-4)	DC IAC	96.9	8	L	3-	4		-0.300
3/20	at St Marys Ryken (17-2)	DC WCAC	97.1		W	14-	8		0.300
3/23	at Landon (15-5)	DC IAC	97.5	6	L	5-	6		-0.250
3/27	FRIENDS (0-13)	MD A MIAA	82.4		W	18-	5		0.000
3/30	at McDonogh (19-5)	MD A MIAA	98.0	5	L	5-	8		-0.200
4/03	BOYS' LATIN (18-2)	MD A MIAA	99.7	1	L	6-	8		-0.150
4/05	CHAPEL HILL (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2		W	13-	5		0.200
4/11	GILMAN (7-9)	MD A MIAA	95.3		W	9-	3		0.200
4/13	at Mount St Joseph (9-6)	MD A MIAA	95.5		L	8-	9	3ot	-0.275
4/17	at St Paul's (14-4)	MD A MIAA	98.4	4	L	5-	8		-0.200
4/19	vs. Severn # (10-8)	MD A MIAA	95.7		W	7-	4		0.200
4/24	at Loyola-Blakefield (13-2)	MD A MIAA	99.6	2	L	3-	4		-0.150
4/27	CALVERT HALL (5-7)	MD A MIAA	95.7	10	W	10-	9	ot	0.200
5/01	DEMATHA (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5		W	12-	7		0.125
5/03	at Archbishop Spalding (8-11)	MD A MIAA	93.3		W	10-	3		0.150
5/08	at McDonogh (19-5)	MD A MIAA	98.0	5	L	6-	8		-0.200
# Neutral site			93.0						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	St Vincent Pallotti	17-	8	9	10		1.39		-1.23
3/16	N	St Alban's	3-	4	-1	2	–	0.00	-3.07
3/20	A	St Marys Ryken	14-	8	6	-2	+++	1.41		7.84
3/23	A	Landon	5-	6	-1	0		1.33	-1.15
3/27	H	Friends	18-	5	13	16	–	-1.33	-2.77
3/30	A	McDonogh	5-	8	-3	-2		1.33	-1.35
4/03	H	Boys' Latin	6-	8	-2	-4		-1.33	1.83
4/05	H	Chapel Hill	13-	5	8	2	++	-1.04		5.60
4/11	H	Gilman	9-	3	6	2	+	-1.33	3.93
4/13	A	Mount St Joseph	8-	9	-1	1	–	1.33	-2.37
4/17	A	St Paul's	5-	8	-3	-2		1.33	-1.13
4/19	N	Severn	7-	4	3	2		0.00	0.51
4/24	A	Loyola-Blakefield	3-	4	-1	-4	+	1.33	3.16
4/27	H	Calvert Hall	10-	9	1	2		-1.33	-0.66
5/01	H	DeMatha	12-	7	5	5		-1.41		0.46
5/03	A	Archbishop Spalding	10-	3	7	4	+	1.33	3.43
5/08	A	McDonogh	6-	8	-2	-2		1.33	-0.35
									0.00	12.66

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Friends	18-	5	2.77
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	194.		Natl CCR Rank	44
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	46
Natl Power Rating	96.62		Natl Power Rank	49
Natl SOS Rating	96.63		Natl SOS Rank	16
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2062
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1165
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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