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St Mary's Gaels (8-11)

Region: NY CathState: NYCoach: Matt Panetta

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/22LOCUST VALLEY (6-10)NY C Sec 891.3L9-14 -0.125  
3/27ROSLYN (7-9)NY B Sec 886.6L10-11 -0.225  
3/28WHEATLEY (5-11)NY C Sec 884.6W14- 6 0.225  
3/30HOLY TRINITY (10-7)NY Cath90.93L6-15 -0.150  
4/03at Kellenberg (6-13)NY Cath87.05L7-18 -0.100  
4/10at Chaminade (14-3)NY Cath99.21L1-13 0.000  
4/13ST JOHN BAPTIST (9-9)NY Cath89.64L4-14 -0.175  
4/19at Holy Trinity (10-7)NY Cath90.93L4-14 -0.075  
4/21LONG ISLAND LUTHERAN (3-15)NY MLA75.9W16- 5 0.000  
4/24at St Anthony's (14-3)NY Cath97.92L7-14 0.000  
4/27ST DOMINIC (3-16)NY Cath78.07W17-10 0.100  
4/28at Herricks (7-9)NY A Sec 888.6L10-11 -0.125  
5/01at St John Baptist (9-9)NY Cath89.64L7-11 -0.100  
5/02at St Dominic (3-16)NY Cath78.07W19- 8 0.175  
5/07at Malverne (6-11)NY C Sec 889.8W11-10 0.400  
5/10at Great Neck South (3-14)NY B Sec 883.5W12- 9 0.250  
5/11at Portledge (11-6)NY MLA85.3W11-10 0.300  
5/15KELLENBERG (6-13)NY Cath87.05L4-12 -0.175  
5/29vs. St Dominic # (3-16)NY Cath78.07W18- 8 1.125  
# Neutral site 86.7     1.33  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/22HLocust Valley9-14-5   -5       -1.24       0.37
3/27HRoslyn10-11-1   -1       -1.24       -0.32
3/28HWheatley14-68   1       +++-1.24       6.74
3/30HHoly Trinity6-15-9   -4       ––-1.35       -4.86
4/03AKellenberg7-18-11   -6       ––1.35       -5.20
4/10AChaminade1-13-12   -14       +1.35       2.23
4/13HSt John Baptist4-14-10   -3       –––-1.35       -6.51
4/19AHoly Trinity4-14-10   -7       –1.35       -3.17
4/21HLong Island Lutheran16-511   10       -1.37       0.91
4/24ASt Anthony's7-14-7   -13       ++1.35       5.94
4/27HSt Dominic17-107   6       -1.35       1.08
4/28AHerricks10-11-1   -5       ++1.24       4.20
5/01ASt John Baptist7-11-4   -6       +1.35       2.18
5/02ASt Dominic19-811   3       +++1.35       7.78
5/07AMalverne11-101   -6       +++1.24       7.36
5/10AGreat Neck South12-93   0       +1.24       3.07
5/11APortledge11-101   -2       +1.37       3.00
5/15HKellenberg4-12-8   -3       ––-1.35       -4.89
5/29NSt Dominic18-810   5       ++0.00       5.43
         0.0025.33

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03AKellenberg7-181.00
4/10AChaminade1-13-2.23
4/13HSt John Baptist4-140.00
4/19AHoly Trinity4-140.00
4/21HLong Island Lutheran16-5-0.91
5/02ASt Dominic19-8-1.00
5/29NSt Dominic18-80.00
10-goal correction: -0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 1216
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.65   Natl Power Rank 1216
Natl SOS Rating 83.93   Natl SOS Rank 486
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.33   Natl Quality Win Rank 137
W-L Pct Rating 0.42   W-L Pct Rank 1596
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.9
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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