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St Paul's Crusaders (14-4)

Region: MD A MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Rick Brocato

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/09	HAVERFORD SCHOOL (19-5)	PA IAC	99.2		W	10-	9	ot	0.225
3/14	vs. Fort Collins Unified # (15-4)	CO Foothil	97.9		W	9-	5		0.250
3/20	WESTERN RESERVE ACAD (16-3)	OH 1 Indep	98.7		W	10-	8		0.225
3/24	GEORGETOWN PREP (20-1)	DC IAC	99.3	3	L	5-	6	2ot	-0.275
3/27	CALVERT HALL (5-7)	MD A MIAA	95.7	10	W	10-	9	ot	0.200
3/30	GILMAN (7-9)	MD A MIAA	95.3		W	8-	7		0.175
4/03	SEVERN (10-8)	MD A MIAA	95.7		W	14-	7		0.150
4/05	at Episcopal HS (5-12)	DC IAC	88.1		W	13-	1		0.075
4/07	MALVERN PREP (17-5)	PA IAC	98.5		W	7-	5		0.225
4/10	at McDonogh (19-5)	MD A MIAA	98.0	5	W	3-	2		0.275
4/17	ST MARY'S ANNAPOLIS (9-8)	MD A MIAA	96.6	9	W	8-	5		0.200
4/21	BOYS' LATIN (18-2)	MD A MIAA	99.7	1	L	8-	15		-0.175
4/24	at Mount St Joseph (9-6)	MD A MIAA	95.5		W	8-	5		0.200
4/27	at Archbishop Spalding (8-11)	MD A MIAA	93.3		W	12-	4		0.150
4/28	vs. Garden City # (18-3)	NY B Sec 8	99.2		W	12-	11	ot	0.275
5/01	at Friends (0-13)	MD A MIAA	82.4		W	15-	3		0.000
5/04	at Loyola-Blakefield (13-2)	MD A MIAA	99.6	2	L	6-	9		-0.150
5/08	GILMAN (7-9)	MD A MIAA	95.3		L	6-	9		-0.325
# Neutral site			94.2						1.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	H	Haverford School	10-	9	1	1		-1.31		0.48
3/14	N	Fort Collins Unified	9-	5	4	0	+	0.00		3.50
3/20	H	Western Reserve Acad	10-	8	2	1		-1.10		1.22
3/24	H	Georgetown Prep	5-	6	-1	1	–	-1.33	-2.28
3/27	H	Calvert Hall	10-	9	1	2		-1.33	-1.20
3/30	H	Gilman	8-	7	1	3		-1.33	-1.60
4/03	H	Severn	14-	7	7	4	+	-1.33	2.64
4/05	A	Episcopal HS	13-	1	12	7	++	1.33	4.52
4/07	H	Malvern Prep	7-	5	2	1		-1.31		0.75
4/10	A	McDonogh	3-	2	1	-1	+	1.33	2.11
4/17	H	St Mary's Annapolis	8-	5	3	2		-1.33	1.13
4/21	H	Boys' Latin	8-	15	-7	-3	–	-1.33	-3.71
4/24	A	Mount St Joseph	8-	5	3	2		1.33	1.09
4/27	A	Archbishop Spalding	12-	4	8	4	+	1.33	3.90
4/28	N	Garden City	12-	11	1	-1		0.00		1.76
5/01	A	Friends	15-	3	12	14		1.33	-1.63
5/04	A	Loyola-Blakefield	6-	9	-3	-4		1.33	0.62
5/08	H	Gilman	6-	9	-3	3	––	-1.33	-5.60
									0.00	7.70

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Episcopal HS	13-	1	-2.00
5/01	A	Friends	15-	3	1.63
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	195.		Natl CCR Rank	19
Natl Poll Vote	97.		Natl Poll Rank	18
Natl Power Rating	98.40		Natl Power Rank	27
Natl SOS Rating	99.49		Natl SOS Rank	2
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	77
W-L Pct Rating	0.78		W-L Pct Rank	315
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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