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St Marys Ryken Knights (17-2)

Region: DC WCAC

State: MD

Coach: John Sotheron

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	ST MARY'S ANNAPOLIS (9-8)	MD A MIAA	96.6		L	8-	14		-0.300
3/23	at Bullis (11-6)	DC IAC	93.0		L	5-	8		-0.325
3/27	at St Alban's (15-4)	DC IAC	96.9		W	5-	2		0.275
3/29	at Bishop Ireton (11-7)	DC WCAC	88.6	8	W	16-	0		0.025
3/31	PAUL VI (7-7)	DC WCAC	86.4		W	20-	6		0.000
4/02	ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (1-12)	DC WCAC	71.5		W	17-	2		0.000
4/04	GONZAGA (8-11)	DC WCAC	90.2	6	W	11-	4		0.025
4/10	at Episcopal HS (5-12)	DC IAC	88.1		W	9-	3		0.050
4/12	CALVERTON (9-9)	MD MILL	84.9		W	19-	2		0.000
4/17	OUR LADY-GOOD COUNSEL (11-8)	DC WCAC	91.3	4	W	9-	5		0.075
4/20	at St Johns DC (10-8)	DC WCAC	83.6		W	16-	2		0.000
4/24	DEMATHA (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5	3	W	17-	8		0.125
4/27	vs. Richmond LC # (5-2)	VA Indep	90.0		W	12-	6		0.075
4/28	vs. Williamsburg LC # (10-5)	VA Indep	87.6		W	11-	2		0.025
5/01	at Bishop O'Connell (9-10)	DC WCAC	88.4	9	W	11-	3		0.025
5/04	at St Vincent Pallotti (9-9)	MD B MIAA	84.4		W	18-	9		0.000
5/08	ST JOHNS DC (10-8)	DC WCAC	83.6		W	19-	2		0.000
5/10	OUR LADY-GOOD COUNSEL (11-8)	DC WCAC	91.3	4	W	13-	7		0.075
5/14	vs. DeMatha # (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5	3	W	13-	12		1.150
# Neutral site			88.0						1.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	St Mary's Annapolis	8-	14	-6	2	–––	-1.41		-7.84
3/23	A	Bullis	5-	8	-3	3	––	1.41		-5.67
3/27	A	St Alban's	5-	2	3	-1	++	1.41		4.24
3/29	A	Bishop Ireton	16-	0	16	9	+++	1.48	7.01
3/31	H	Paul VI	20-	6	14	13		-1.48	1.11
4/02	H	Archbishop Carroll	17-	2	15	27	–––	-1.48	11.81
4/04	H	Gonzaga	11-	4	7	9		-1.48	-1.78
4/10	A	Episcopal HS	9-	3	6	8		1.41		-1.55
4/12	H	Calverton	19-	2	17	14	+	-1.48	3.35
4/17	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	9-	5	4	7	–	-1.48	-2.75
4/20	A	St Johns DC	16-	2	14	12	+	1.48	2.47
4/24	H	DeMatha	17-	8	9	5	+	-1.48	3.88
4/27	N	Richmond LC	12-	6	6	7		0.00		-1.05
4/28	N	Williamsburg LC	11-	2	9	9		0.00		-0.41
5/01	A	Bishop O'Connell	11-	3	8	9		1.48	-0.62
5/04	A	St Vincent Pallotti	18-	9	9	11	–	1.46		-2.16
5/08	H	St Johns DC	19-	2	17	14	+	-1.48	2.50
5/10	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	13-	7	6	7		-1.48	-0.75
5/14	N	DeMatha	13-	12	1	4	–	0.00	-2.64
									0.00	-14.44

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	A	Bishop Ireton	16-	0	-6.00
3/31	H	Paul VI	20-	6	-1.11
4/02	H	Archbishop Carroll	17-	2	11.81
4/12	H	Calverton	19-	2	-3.35
4/20	A	St Johns DC	16-	2	-2.47
5/08	H	St Johns DC	19-	2	-2.50
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	71
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.05		Natl Power Rank	67
Natl SOS Rating	85.69		Natl SOS Rank	350
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	128
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	77
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	10.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.0


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