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St Sebastian Arrows (11-6)

Region: NE ISL

State: MA

Coach: Shaun Stanton

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	COHASSET (16-3)	MA 3	95.6		W	7-	6		0.250
4/07	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (12-4)	NE ISL	95.7	7	L	13-	17		-0.250
4/11	at Tabor Academy (7-7)	NE East-1	93.2		L	4-	5		-0.225
4/14	GROTON SCHOOL (1-14)	NE ISL	83.7		W	12-	1		0.000
4/18	at St George's (9-10)	NE ISL	91.4		L	6-	8		-0.300
4/21	ST PAUL'S (5-11)	NE ISL	89.7		W	12-	11		0.150
4/30	at Belmont Hill (15-1)	NE ISL	97.4	3	L	4-	7		-0.150
5/02	at Middlesex (11-4)	NE ISL	95.9	6	W	8-	4		0.350
5/05	RIVERS (10-6)	NE ISL	94.2		W	10-	9	ot	0.225
5/07	at Lawrence Academy (7-10)	NE ISL	89.8		W	11-	5		0.175
5/09	at Milton Academy (7-8)	NE ISL	92.1		L	4-	7		-0.250
5/12	THE GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (15-2)	NE ISL	98.2	1	L	9-	13		-0.150
5/14	at Buckingham, B&N (3-14)	NE ISL	85.3		W	11-	3		0.100
5/17	ST MARK'S (4-11)	NE ISL	88.2		W	16-	9		0.075
5/19	BROOKS SCHOOL (10-7)	NE ISL	94.0		W	11-	9		0.225
5/21	THAYER ACADEMY (11-6)	NE ISL	94.2		W	9-	7		0.200
5/23	at Roxbury Latin (0-15)	NE ISL	82.9		W	12-	2		0.025
			90.6						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Cohasset	7-	6	1	0		-1.30		0.58
4/07	H	Noble & Greenough	13-	17	-4	0	––	-1.45	-4.07
4/11	A	Tabor Academy	4-	5	-1	-1		1.45	-0.20
4/14	H	Groton School	12-	1	11	12		-1.45	-0.57
4/18	A	St George's	6-	8	-2	2	–	1.45	-3.68
4/21	H	St Paul's	12-	11	1	4	–	-1.45	-2.82
4/30	A	Belmont Hill	4-	7	-3	-4		1.45	0.95
5/02	A	Middlesex	8-	4	4	-4	+++	1.45	7.72
5/05	H	Rivers	10-	9	1	1		-1.45	-0.33
5/07	A	Lawrence Academy	11-	5	6	3	+	1.45	2.84
5/09	A	Milton Academy	4-	7	-3	0	–	1.45	-2.83
5/12	H	The Governor's Academy	9-	13	-4	-4		-1.45	0.13
5/14	A	Buckingham, B&N	11-	3	8	6	+	1.45	2.05
5/17	H	St Mark's	16-	9	7	7		-1.45	-0.31
5/19	H	Brooks School	11-	9	2	1		-1.45	0.70
5/21	H	Thayer Academy	9-	7	2	2		-1.45	-0.41
5/23	A	Roxbury Latin	12-	2	10	9		1.45	0.83
									0.00	0.58

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	Groton School	12-	1	0.57
5/23	A	Roxbury Latin	12-	2	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	215
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.66		Natl Power Rank	215
Natl SOS Rating	90.86		Natl SOS Rank	103
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	639
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	745
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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