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J.E.B. Stuart Raiders (4-8)

Region: VA Nationl

State: VA

Coach: Hendrick Booz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at South County (7-5)	VA Patriot	89.0		L	3-	15		0.000
3/23	at Robert E Lee (1-10)	VA Patriot	75.9		W	15-	9		0.200
3/28	TRINITY-MEADOW VIEW (10-4)	VA 3 Indep	85.8		L	4-	9		-0.100
4/10	WAKEFIELD HS (0-13)	VA Nationl	67.9		W	17-	4		0.000
4/13	at Falls Church (1-11)	VA Nationl	71.7		W	15-	8		0.150
4/19	YORKTOWN (14-4)	VA Nationl	92.0	7	L	6-	13		0.000
4/23	EDISON (6-10)	VA Nationl	82.7		L	4-	8		-0.250
4/25	CENTREVILLE (4-9)	VA Concord	83.8		L	7-	13		-0.175
4/27	at Washington-Lee (4-10)	VA Nationl	78.9		L	5-	6		-0.225
4/30	HERITAGE-LEESBURG (15-3)	VA Dulles	84.5		L	6-	17		-0.150
5/01	at Mount Vernon (7-9)	VA Nationl	83.1		W	11-	10		0.300
5/07	at Edison (6-10)	VA Nationl	82.7		L	4-	14		-0.175
			81.4						-0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	South County	3-	15	-12	-11		1.19	-1.36
3/23	A	Robert E Lee	15-	9	6	2	++	1.19	4.46
3/28	H	Trinity-Meadow View	4-	9	-5	-6		-0.76		0.88
4/10	H	Wakefield HS	17-	4	13	10	+	-1.19	3.00
4/13	A	Falls Church	15-	8	7	4	+	1.19	2.80
4/19	H	Yorktown	6-	13	-7	-10	+	-1.19	2.98
4/23	H	Edison	4-	8	-4	0	–	-1.19	-3.69
4/25	H	Centreville	7-	13	-6	-3	–	-1.19	-3.42
4/27	A	Washington-Lee	5-	6	-1	-1		1.19	-0.43
4/30	H	Heritage-Leesburg	6-	17	-11	-4	–––	-1.56		-7.19
5/01	A	Mount Vernon	11-	10	1	-2	+	1.19	2.97
5/07	A	Edison	4-	14	-10	-3	–––	1.19	-7.31
									0.00	-6.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	A	South County	3-	15	1.36
4/10	H	Wakefield HS	17-	4	-3.00
4/30	H	Heritage-Leesburg	6-	17	1.00
5/07	A	Edison	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1731
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.14		Natl Power Rank	1731
Natl SOS Rating	72.33		Natl SOS Rank	1657
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	2179
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1905
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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