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Sun Valley Vanguards (2-14)

Region: PA DelVal

State: PA

Coach: Kyle Garzia

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	AVON GROVE (9-7)	PA Suburb	90.7		L	0-	11		-0.075
3/29	STRATH HAVEN (13-9)	PA Centrl	92.8		L	3-	17		0.000
4/10	at Harriton (8-13)	PA DelVal	87.3		L	3-	6		-0.125
4/12	at Haverford HS (7-10)	PA Centrl	87.6		L	5-	7		-0.125
4/13	KENNETT (10-11)	PA DelVal	89.5		L	6-	12		-0.125
4/19	at Interboro (7-12)	PA DelVal	86.9		L	7-	16		-0.175
4/24	at Great Valley (18-5)	PA Suburb	95.1	6	L	2-	17		0.000
4/26	GARNET VALLEY (18-4)	PA DelVal	95.0	7	L	2-	13		0.000
4/28	WESTTOWN (3-9)	PA Noeast	84.1		W	11-	4		0.175
5/01	at Kennett (10-11)	PA DelVal	89.5		L	5-	10		-0.050
5/03	HARRITON (8-13)	PA DelVal	87.3		L	6-	7	ot	-0.175
5/07	at Marple Newtown (5-12)	PA Centrl	87.7		L	5-	15		-0.125
5/08	at Garnet Valley (18-4)	PA DelVal	95.0	7	L	0-	16		0.000
5/12	at Cardinal O'Hara (12-10)	PA Cathol	87.3		W	10-	8		0.350
5/14	at Upper Darby (7-13)	PA Centrl	86.7		L	7-	11		-0.150
5/15	INTERBORO (7-12)	PA DelVal	86.9		L	7-	11		-0.225
			86.1						-0.83

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Avon Grove	0-	11	-11	-7	––	-1.29	-4.25
3/29	H	Strath Haven	3-	17	-14	-12	–	-1.29	-2.27
4/10	A	Harriton	3-	6	-3	-5	+	1.29	2.21
4/12	A	Haverford HS	5-	7	-2	-5	+	1.29	3.41
4/13	H	Kennett	6-	12	-6	-5		-1.29	-1.05
4/19	A	Interboro	7-	16	-9	-3	––	1.29	-5.87
4/24	A	Great Valley	2-	17	-15	-15		1.29	0.09
4/26	H	Garnet Valley	2-	13	-11	-13		-1.29	1.91
4/28	H	Westtown	11-	4	7	3	+	-1.29	3.83
5/01	A	Kennett	5-	10	-5	-8	+	1.29	2.54
5/03	H	Harriton	6-	7	-1	-3		-1.29	1.63
5/07	A	Marple Newtown	5-	15	-10	-5	––	1.29	-4.90
5/08	A	Garnet Valley	0-	16	-16	-15		1.29	-0.51
5/12	A	Cardinal O'Hara	10-	8	2	-4	+++	1.29	6.21
5/14	A	Upper Darby	7-	11	-4	-4		1.29	0.46
5/15	H	Interboro	7-	11	-4	-1	–	-1.29	-3.45
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Avon Grove	0-	11	1.00
3/29	H	Strath Haven	3-	17	2.27
4/24	A	Great Valley	2-	17	-0.09
4/26	H	Garnet Valley	2-	13	-1.91
5/07	A	Marple Newtown	5-	15	0.00
5/08	A	Garnet Valley	0-	16	0.51
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1119
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.65		Natl Power Rank	1119
Natl SOS Rating	81.66		Natl SOS Rank	709
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.83		Natl Quality Win Rank	2521
W-L Pct Rating	0.12		W-L Pct Rank	2408
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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