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Susquehannock Warriors (16-0)

Region: PA York 1

State: PA

Coach: Russ LeBlanc

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at FCA Lacrosse (5-4)	MD Indep	80.0		W	15-	3		0.050
3/27	PALMYRA (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	17-	5		0.075
3/29	DALLASTOWN (6-12)	PA York 1	73.6		W	14-	2		0.000
3/31	EPHRATA (7-12)	PA LL04	78.7		W	19-	0		0.000
4/03	NEW OXFORD (1-13)	PA York 1	67.3		W	19-	0		0.000
4/14	SPRING GROVE (7-9)	PA York 1	74.1		W	12-	2		0.000
4/19	at Central York (2-10)	PA York 1	70.5		W	19-	2		0.000
4/26	at Red Lion (8-10)	PA York 1	78.7		W	13-	1		0.075
4/28	at Warwick (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	W	13-	11		0.300
5/01	at South-Western (10-8)	PA York 1	80.4		W	7-	3		0.175
5/03	NORTHERN YORK (13-4)	PA York 1	83.0		W	15-	12		0.100
5/04	YORK SUBURBAN (6-7)	PA York 1	73.1		W	15-	1		0.000
5/15	RED LION (8-10)	PA York 1	78.7		W	9-	7		0.000
5/17	SOUTH-WESTERN (10-8)	PA York 1	80.4		W	7-	1		0.100
5/24	DALLASTOWN (6-12)	PA York 1	73.6		W	15-	4		0.000
5/30	STATE COLLEGE (9-7)	PA CSNLL	76.9		W	16-	5		1.000
			78.7						1.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	FCA Lacrosse	15-	3	12	8	++	1.52		4.05
3/27	H	Palmyra	17-	5	12	7	++	-1.55	5.18
3/29	H	Dallastown	14-	2	12	14		-1.55	-1.76
3/31	H	Ephrata	19-	0	19	10	+++	-1.55	8.75
4/03	H	New Oxford	19-	0	19	21	–	-1.55	-2.25
4/14	H	Spring Grove	12-	2	10	14	––	-1.55	-4.34
4/19	A	Central York	19-	2	17	15	+	1.55	2.35
4/26	A	Red Lion	13-	1	12	7	++	1.55	5.40
4/28	A	Warwick	13-	11	2	-2	+	1.55	3.93
5/01	A	South-Western	7-	3	4	3		1.55	0.68
5/03	H	Northern York	15-	12	3	6	–	-1.55	-3.09
5/04	H	York Suburban	15-	1	14	16		-1.55	-1.69
5/15	H	Red Lion	9-	7	2	10	–––	-1.55	-7.69
5/17	H	South-Western	7-	1	6	6		-1.55	-0.42
5/24	H	Dallastown	15-	4	11	14	–	-1.55	-2.76
5/30	H	State College	16-	5	11	13	–	-1.55	-2.29
									0.00	4.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	A	FCA Lacrosse	15-	3	-2.00
3/27	H	Palmyra	17-	5	-2.00
3/29	H	Dallastown	14-	2	1.76
3/31	H	Ephrata	19-	0	-8.75
4/03	H	New Oxford	19-	0	2.25
4/14	H	Spring Grove	12-	2	4.34
4/19	A	Central York	19-	2	-2.35
4/26	A	Red Lion	13-	1	-2.00
5/04	H	York Suburban	15-	1	1.69
5/24	H	Dallastown	15-	4	2.76
5/30	H	State College	16-	5	2.29
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	606
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.48		Natl Power Rank	606
Natl SOS Rating	67.86		Natl SOS Rank	2101
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	65
W-L Pct Rating	1.00		W-L Pct Rank	14
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-0		Ave Goal diff (all )	10.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	9.3


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