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Swartz Creek Dragons (0-15)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Sterling Hgts-Warren (2-14)	MI 1	73.9		L	3-	12		0.000
4/05	STERLING HGTS-WARREN (2-14)	MI 1	73.9		L	2-	10		-0.075
4/13	BAY CITY CENTRAL (7-7)	MI 2	76.5		L	1-	16		-0.025
4/16	YPSILANTI (7-12)	MI 2	72.2		L	2-	8		-0.175
4/20	at Davison (9-6)	MI 2	81.7		L	3-	16		0.000
4/24	LAPEER WEST (2-3)	MI 4 Club	67.1		L	1-	9		-0.225
4/30	at Grand Blanc (7-11)	MI 1	79.9		L	1-	9		0.000
5/03	at Lapeer West (2-3)	MI 4 Club	67.1		L	4-	9		-0.150
5/04	at Lake Orion (6-3)	MI 4 Club	79.0		L	1-	13		0.000
5/07	at Bay City Central (7-7)	MI 2	76.5		L	0-	13		0.000
5/11	DAVISON (9-6)	MI 2	81.7		L	0-	15		0.000
5/17	at Ypsilanti (7-12)	MI 2	72.2		L	2-	11		-0.100
5/18	LAKE ORION (6-3)	MI 4 Club	79.0		L	0-	11		0.000
5/21	at Hartland (6-11)	MI 2	81.4		L	1-	18		0.000
5/21	at Walled Lake Central (2-15)	MI 1	72.5		L	4-	11		-0.025
			71.5						-0.77

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Sterling Hgts-Warren	3-	12	-9	-10		1.67	0.89
4/05	H	Sterling Hgts-Warren	2-	10	-8	-7		-1.67	-1.45
4/13	H	Bay City Central	1-	16	-15	-9	––	-1.67	-5.53
4/16	H	Ypsilanti	2-	8	-6	-3	–	-1.67	-3.35
4/20	A	Davison	3-	16	-13	-17	+	1.67	3.88
4/24	H	Lapeer West	1-	9	-8	-1	–––	-1.29		-7.00
4/30	A	Grand Blanc	1-	9	-8	-15	+++	1.67	7.03
5/03	A	Lapeer West	4-	9	-5	-4		1.29		-1.43
5/04	A	Lake Orion	1-	13	-12	-15	+	1.29		3.49
5/07	A	Bay City Central	0-	13	-13	-13		1.67	-0.19
5/11	H	Davison	0-	15	-15	-14		-1.67	-1.46
5/17	A	Ypsilanti	2-	11	-9	-6	–	1.67	-3.00
5/18	H	Lake Orion	0-	11	-11	-13		-1.29		1.91
5/21	A	Hartland	1-	18	-17	-18		1.67	0.80
5/21	A	Walled Lake Central	4-	11	-7	-9	+	1.67	2.37
									0.00	-3.04

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/13	H	Bay City Central	1-	16	5.00
4/20	A	Davison	3-	16	-3.88
5/04	A	Lake Orion	1-	13	-3.49
5/07	A	Bay City Central	0-	13	0.19
5/11	H	Davison	0-	15	1.46
5/18	H	Lake Orion	0-	11	-1.91
5/21	A	Hartland	1-	18	-0.80
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	2579
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.85		Natl Power Rank	2579
Natl SOS Rating	56.19		Natl SOS Rank	2589
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.77		Natl Quality Win Rank	2543
W-L Pct Rating	0.00		W-L Pct Rank	2604
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	0-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-10.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-11.7


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