South-Western Mustangs (10-8)

Region: PA York 1State: PACoach: T.J. Buchanan

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27SPRING GROVE (7-9)PA York 174.1W11- 3 0.025  
3/29BISHOP MCDEVITT (1-14)PA Mid 169.8W19- 0 0.000  
3/31LEWISBURG (8-4)PA CSNLL78.6W9- 3 0.125  
4/03CENTRAL YORK (2-10)PA York 170.5W18- 3 0.000  
4/10at Dallastown (6-12)PA York 173.6W7- 3 0.100  
4/14at Penn Manor (10-9)PA LL0481.6L5-10 -0.225  
4/17at New Oxford (1-13)PA York 167.3W16- 0 0.000  
4/21at Warwick (19-7)PA LL0488.25L1-12 -0.075  
4/24YORK SUBURBAN (6-7)PA York 173.1W13- 1 0.000  
4/26at Conestoga Valley (12-11)PA LL0483.49W7- 5 0.350  
5/01SUSQUEHANNOCK (16-0)PA York 189.53L3- 7 -0.175  
5/04NORTHERN YORK (13-4)PA York 183.0L5- 8 -0.275  
5/08at Red Lion (8-10)PA York 178.7W12- 7 0.200  
5/10CHAMBERSBURG (9-8)PA Mid 180.3L9-102ot-0.325  
5/12at Palmyra (10-9)PA Mid 181.3L4-14 -0.225  
5/15vs. Northern York # (13-4)PA York 183.0W9- 5 0.250  
5/17at Susquehannock (16-0)PA York 189.53L1- 7 -0.100  
5/25CUMBERLAND VALLEY (15-4)PA Mid 188.84L5- 8 -0.125  
# Neutral site 80.8     -0.47  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HSpring Grove11-38   9       -1.55       -1.47
3/29HBishop McDevitt19-019   13       +++-1.55       6.20
3/31HLewisburg9-36   5       -1.55       1.07
4/03HCentral York18-315   13       +-1.55       2.12
4/10ADallastown7-34   6       1.55       -1.80
4/14APenn Manor5-10-5   -1       ––1.55       -4.24
4/17ANew Oxford16-016   13       +1.55       2.71
4/21AWarwick1-12-11   -7       ––1.55       -4.20
4/24HYork Suburban13-112   11       -1.55       1.18
4/26AConestoga Valley7-52   -4       +++1.55       6.14
5/01HSusquehannock3-7-4   -3       -1.55       -0.68
5/04HNorthern York5-8-3   1       ––-1.55       -4.22
5/08ARed Lion12-75   2       +1.55       3.27
5/10HChambersburg9-10-1   3       –-1.55       -3.60
5/12APalmyra4-14-10   -1       –––1.55       -8.86
5/15NNorthern York9-54   0       ++0.00       4.33
5/17ASusquehannock1-7-6   -6       1.55       0.42
5/25HCumberland Valley5-8-3   -5       -1.55       1.62
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/29HBishop McDevitt19-0-6.20
4/03HCentral York18-3-2.12
4/17ANew Oxford16-0-2.71
4/21AWarwick1-121.00
4/24HYork Suburban13-1-1.18
5/12APalmyra4-140.00
10-goal correction: -0.62

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 1569
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 80.39   Natl Power Rank 1569
Natl SOS Rating 71.98   Natl SOS Rank 1704
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.47   Natl Quality Win Rank 2123
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 1077
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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