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South-Western Mustangs (10-8)

Region: PA York 1

State: PA

Coach: T.J. Buchanan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	SPRING GROVE (7-9)	PA York 1	74.1		W	11-	3		0.025
3/29	BISHOP MCDEVITT (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	19-	0		0.000
3/31	LEWISBURG (8-4)	PA CSNLL	78.6		W	9-	3		0.125
4/03	CENTRAL YORK (2-10)	PA York 1	70.5		W	18-	3		0.000
4/10	at Dallastown (6-12)	PA York 1	73.6		W	7-	3		0.100
4/14	at Penn Manor (10-9)	PA LL04	81.6		L	5-	10		-0.225
4/17	at New Oxford (1-13)	PA York 1	67.3		W	16-	0		0.000
4/21	at Warwick (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	L	1-	12		-0.075
4/24	YORK SUBURBAN (6-7)	PA York 1	73.1		W	13-	1		0.000
4/26	at Conestoga Valley (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	W	7-	5		0.350
5/01	SUSQUEHANNOCK (16-0)	PA York 1	89.5	3	L	3-	7		-0.175
5/04	NORTHERN YORK (13-4)	PA York 1	83.0		L	5-	8		-0.275
5/08	at Red Lion (8-10)	PA York 1	78.7		W	12-	7		0.200
5/10	CHAMBERSBURG (9-8)	PA Mid 1	80.3		L	9-	10	2ot	-0.325
5/12	at Palmyra (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		L	4-	14		-0.225
5/15	vs. Northern York # (13-4)	PA York 1	83.0		W	9-	5		0.250
5/17	at Susquehannock (16-0)	PA York 1	89.5	3	L	1-	7		-0.100
5/25	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (15-4)	PA Mid 1	88.8	4	L	5-	8		-0.125
# Neutral site			80.8						-0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Spring Grove	11-	3	8	9		-1.55	-1.47
3/29	H	Bishop McDevitt	19-	0	19	13	+++	-1.55	6.20
3/31	H	Lewisburg	9-	3	6	5		-1.55	1.07
4/03	H	Central York	18-	3	15	13	+	-1.55	2.12
4/10	A	Dallastown	7-	3	4	6		1.55	-1.80
4/14	A	Penn Manor	5-	10	-5	-1	––	1.55	-4.24
4/17	A	New Oxford	16-	0	16	13	+	1.55	2.71
4/21	A	Warwick	1-	12	-11	-7	––	1.55	-4.20
4/24	H	York Suburban	13-	1	12	11		-1.55	1.18
4/26	A	Conestoga Valley	7-	5	2	-4	+++	1.55	6.14
5/01	H	Susquehannock	3-	7	-4	-3		-1.55	-0.68
5/04	H	Northern York	5-	8	-3	1	––	-1.55	-4.22
5/08	A	Red Lion	12-	7	5	2	+	1.55	3.27
5/10	H	Chambersburg	9-	10	-1	3	–	-1.55	-3.60
5/12	A	Palmyra	4-	14	-10	-1	–––	1.55	-8.86
5/15	N	Northern York	9-	5	4	0	++	0.00	4.33
5/17	A	Susquehannock	1-	7	-6	-6		1.55	0.42
5/25	H	Cumberland Valley	5-	8	-3	-5		-1.55	1.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Bishop McDevitt	19-	0	-6.20
4/03	H	Central York	18-	3	-2.12
4/17	A	New Oxford	16-	0	-2.71
4/21	A	Warwick	1-	12	1.00
4/24	H	York Suburban	13-	1	-1.18
5/12	A	Palmyra	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.62

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1569
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.39		Natl Power Rank	1569
Natl SOS Rating	71.98		Natl SOS Rank	1704
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	2123
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1077
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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