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Shrewsbury Colonials (14-7)

Conference: CentMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Nate Skermont

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/10	at St Peter Marian (11-9)	MA 2	87.4	8	L	8-	12		-0.300
4/13	at Northbridge (7-13)	MA 2	82.6		W	11-	3		0.125
4/14	at North Middlesex (5-14)	MA 2	83.6		W	9-	3		0.100
4/20	WACHUSETT (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	L	8-	10		-0.275
4/21	at Marlborough (10-9)	MA 2	84.2	10	W	11-	4		0.125
4/24	WORCESTER COMBINED (0-19)	MA 2	75.6		W	14-	1		0.000
4/26	GROTON-DUNSTABLE (13-7)	MA 2	87.7	6	W	13-	7		0.200
4/28	at Grafton (13-4)	MA 2	87.3	9	W	12-	6		0.175
5/01	at Leominster (4-14)	MA 2	80.7		W	9-	3		0.050
5/03	ALGONQUIN (13-9)	MA 2	89.1	3	L	4-	5	2ot	-0.225
5/05	at Westborough (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	L	7-	13		-0.175
5/08	ST PETER MARIAN (11-9)	MA 2	87.4	8	L	9-	11		-0.325
5/12	NORTHBRIDGE (7-13)	MA 2	82.6		W	12-	6		0.125
5/15	at Worcester Combined (0-19)	MA 2	75.6		W	13-	3		0.000
5/17	at Groton-Dunstable (13-7)	MA 2	87.7	6	L	10-	14		-0.275
5/20	at Wachusett (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	W	12-	11		0.225
5/21	WESTBOROUGH (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	W	6-	2		0.300
5/22	LEOMINSTER (4-14)	MA 2	80.7		W	13-	5		0.025
6/02	at Wachusett (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	W	10-	9		0.225
6/05	at St Johns Shrewsbury (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	W	6-	5		0.400
6/10	at Algonquin (13-9)	MA 2	89.1	3	L	3-	5		-0.225
			83.3						0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	A	St Peter Marian	8-	12	-4	2	–––	0.32	-6.05
4/13	A	Northbridge	11-	3	8	5	+	0.32	3.33
4/14	A	North Middlesex	9-	3	6	6		0.32	0.32
4/20	H	Wachusett	8-	10	-2	1	–	-0.32	-3.27
4/21	A	Marlborough	11-	4	7	5	+	0.32	2.21
4/24	H	Worcester Combined	14-	1	13	12		-0.32	0.56
4/26	H	Groton-Dunstable	13-	7	6	2	+	-0.32	3.88
4/28	A	Grafton	12-	6	6	3	+	0.32	2.68
5/01	A	Leominster	9-	3	6	8	–	0.32	-2.08
5/03	H	Algonquin	4-	5	-1	-1		-0.32	-0.14
5/05	A	Westborough	7-	13	-6	-3	–	0.32	-2.94
5/08	H	St Peter Marian	9-	11	-2	3	––	-0.32	-4.68
5/12	H	Northbridge	12-	6	6	5		-0.32	0.69
5/15	A	Worcester Combined	13-	3	10	12		0.32	-1.81
5/17	A	Groton-Dunstable	10-	14	-4	1	––	0.32	-5.49
5/20	A	Wachusett	12-	11	1	1		0.32	0.36
5/21	H	Westborough	6-	2	4	-2	+++	-0.32	6.43
5/22	H	Leominster	13-	5	8	9		-0.32	-0.71
6/02	A	Wachusett	10-	9	1	1		0.32	0.36
6/05	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	6-	5	1	-6	+++	0.32	6.87
6/10	A	Algonquin	3-	5	-2	-1		0.32	-0.51
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/24	H	Worcester Combined	14-	1	-0.56
5/15	A	Worcester Combined	13-	3	1.81
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	760
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.60		Natl Power Rank	760
Natl SOS Rating	76.01		Natl SOS Rank	1282
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	825
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	662
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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