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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Thomas Johnson Patriots (5-10)

Region: MD 43 NorthState: MDCoach: Dave Hawkins

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/27MIDDLETOWN (10-3)MD 21 West85.6L10-13 -0.200  
3/30at Walkersville (12-2)MD 32 West90.3L8-19 0.000  
4/03SMITHSBURG (8-7)MD 21 West80.2L11-14 -0.300  
4/07vs. Frederick # (5-10)MD 21 West77.2L9-10 -0.300  
4/07vs. Tuscarora # (3-12)MD 32 West76.8W8- 7 0.225  
4/10at Century (14-3)MD 21 West90.6L11-21 0.000  
4/12at Catoctin (6-6)MD 21 West77.9W15-12 0.225  
4/17NORTH CARROLL (7-9)MD 43 North86.0L4-17 -0.075  
4/19at Urbana (10-5)MD 32 West90.2L8-15 0.000  
4/21NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-13)MD 21 West64.9W22- 2 0.000  
4/24WESTMINSTER (12-6)MD 43 North89.1L8-15 -0.075  
4/27at Tuscarora (3-12)MD 32 West76.8W13-10 0.250  
5/01at Linganore (5-7)MD 32 West81.4L11-17 -0.200  
5/03FREDERICK (5-10)MD 21 West77.2W19- 5 0.175  
5/10at North Carroll (7-9)MD 43 North86.0L6-17 -0.050  
# Neutral site 81.9     -0.33  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HMiddletown10-13-3   -2       -0.72       -0.57
3/30AWalkersville8-19-11   -10       0.72       -1.27
4/03HSmithsburg11-14-3   2       ––-0.72       -4.72
4/07NFrederick9-10-1   2       0.00       -2.90
4/07NTuscarora8-71   1       0.00       -0.16
4/10ACentury11-21-10   -10       0.72       -0.01
4/12ACatoctin15-123   1       0.72       1.83
4/17HNorth Carroll4-17-13   -7       –––-0.72       -6.41
4/19AUrbana8-15-7   -10       +0.72       2.72
4/21HNorth Hagerstown22-220   15       ++-0.72       4.97
4/24HWestminster8-15-7   -7       -0.72       -0.24
4/27ATuscarora13-103   0       +0.72       2.56
5/01ALinganore11-17-6   -2       ––0.72       -4.22
5/03HFrederick19-514   3       +++-0.72       11.38
5/10ANorth Carroll6-17-11   -8       0.72       -2.96
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/30AWalkersville8-191.00
4/10ACentury11-210.00
4/17HNorth Carroll4-173.00
4/21HNorth Hagerstown22-2-4.97
5/03HFrederick19-5-4.00
5/10ANorth Carroll6-171.00
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 1847
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.89   Natl Power Rank 1847
Natl SOS Rating 73.83   Natl SOS Rank 1513
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.33   Natl Quality Win Rank 1923
W-L Pct Rating 0.33   W-L Pct Rank 1861
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -9.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.0



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