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Tilton School Rams (6-9)

Region: NE North

State: NH

Coach: Henry Large

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	vs. Lawrence Academy # (7-10)	NE ISL	89.8		L	13-	14	ot	-0.225
4/09	at Holderness (8-5)	NE East-1	94.8	10	L	6-	13		-0.050
4/11	VERMONT ACADEMY (2-12)	NE North	81.9		W	16-	11		0.050
4/14	at Phillips Andover (9-5)	NE East-1	95.6	8	L	4-	10		0.000
4/18	WINCHENDON (4-9)	NE East-2	85.3		W	15-	8		0.150
4/21	NORTH YARMOUTH ACAD (17-2)	ME East-B	94.9		W	3-	2	ot	0.375
4/25	KIMBALL UNION (9-5)	NE East-1	94.9	9	L	6-	11		-0.125
4/27	at Berwick (12-7)	NE East-2	91.9		L	5-	8		-0.175
4/30	at New Hampton (3-9)	NE North	83.3		W	13-	4		0.125
5/02	at Hebron Academy (12-4)	NE North	93.3		L	1-	13		-0.100
5/05	LEXINGTON CHRISTIAN (6-7)	NE East-2	84.9		W	12-	1		0.100
5/08	at Proctor (7-4)	NE North	90.6		L	4-	6		-0.200
5/09	NORTHFIELD MT HERMON (11-8)	NE 1 West	93.4		L	4-	16		-0.175
5/12	BREWSTER ACADEMY (13-1)	NE North	98.0	2	L	7-	20		-0.025
5/16	NEW HAMPTON (3-9)	NE North	83.3		W	9-	6		0.050
# Neutral site			88.6						-0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	N	Lawrence Academy	13-	14	-1	-1		0.00	0.00
4/09	A	Holderness	6-	13	-7	-8		1.45	0.98
4/11	H	Vermont Academy	16-	11	5	8	–	-1.45	-3.23
4/14	A	Phillips Andover	4-	10	-6	-10	++	1.45	4.01
4/18	H	Winchendon	15-	8	7	4	+	-1.45	3.25
4/21	H	North Yarmouth Acad	3-	2	1	-5	+++	-1.06		6.18
4/25	H	Kimball Union	6-	11	-5	-5		-1.45	0.19
4/27	A	Berwick	5-	8	-3	-3		1.45	0.04
4/30	A	New Hampton	13-	4	9	5	++	1.45	4.04
5/02	A	Hebron Academy	1-	13	-12	-6	–––	1.45	-6.14
5/05	H	Lexington Christian	12-	1	11	6	++	-1.45	4.92
5/08	A	Proctor	4-	6	-2	-2		1.45	0.45
5/09	H	Northfield Mt Hermon	4-	16	-12	-3	–––	-1.30		-8.55
5/12	H	Brewster Academy	7-	20	-13	-9	–	-1.45	-3.67
5/16	H	New Hampton	9-	6	3	8	––	-1.45	-4.85
									0.00	-2.37

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/02	A	Hebron Academy	1-	13	2.00
5/05	H	Lexington Christian	12-	1	-1.00
5/09	H	Northfield Mt Hermon	4-	16	2.00
5/12	H	Brewster Academy	7-	20	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	766
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.64		Natl Power Rank	766
Natl SOS Rating	86.71		Natl SOS Rank	291
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	1787
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1669
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.3


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