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Timon St Jude Tigers (9-10)

Region: NY P Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Mike Burke

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/12	at Penfield (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	94.5		L	5-	15		-0.050
4/17	WEST SENECA WEST (6-11)	NY A Sec 6	82.3		W	9-	4		0.125
4/19	MCQUAID JESUIT (13-8)	NY B Sec 5	91.3		L	9-	13		-0.175
4/21	FAIRPORT (10-8)	NY A Sec 5	96.1		L	3-	10		-0.075
4/25	at Nichols (3-15)	NY P Sec 6	79.7		W	11-	8		0.150
4/27	at Amherst (10-10)	NY B Sec 6	88.7	9	W	10-	8		0.350
4/30	at McQuaid Jesuit (13-8)	NY B Sec 5	91.3		W	13-	10		0.375
5/02	at St Francis (16-3)	NY P Sec 6	93.3	5	L	5-	12		-0.175
5/08	at Canisius (5-13)	NY P Sec 6	83.8		W	11-	7		0.250
5/10	NICHOLS (3-15)	NY P Sec 6	79.7		W	11-	4		0.100
5/12	ORCHARD PARK (16-5)	NY A Sec 6	97.3	1	L	6-	14		-0.050
5/14	at St Joseph Collegiate (6-11)	NY P Sec 6	83.0		L	7-	8	ot	-0.275
5/16	CANISIUS (5-13)	NY P Sec 6	83.8		W	9-	7		0.175
5/19	ST FRANCIS (16-3)	NY P Sec 6	93.3	5	L	6-	7		-0.225
5/21	at Niagara Wheatfield (16-3)	NY A Sec 6	96.3	2	L	8-	15		0.000
5/23	at Grand Island (7-10)	NY B Sec 6	83.9		L	3-	7		-0.250
5/26	ST JOSEPH COLLEGIATE (6-11)	NY P Sec 6	83.0		W	13-	7		0.150
5/29	CANISIUS (5-13)	NY P Sec 6	83.8		W	9-	8		0.175
5/31	vs. St Francis # (16-3)	NY P Sec 6	93.3	5	L	4-	8		-0.200
# Neutral site			88.4						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/12	A	Penfield	5-	15	-10	-8		1.26		-1.70
4/17	H	West Seneca West	9-	4	5	5		-1.39	0.09
4/19	H	McQuaid Jesuit	9-	13	-4	-3		-1.26		-1.46
4/21	H	Fairport	3-	10	-7	-7		-1.26		0.40
4/25	A	Nichols	11-	8	3	4		1.39	-0.55
4/27	A	Amherst	10-	8	2	-4	+++	1.39	6.21
4/30	A	McQuaid Jesuit	13-	10	3	-5	+++	1.26		8.05
5/02	A	St Francis	5-	12	-7	-3	–	1.39	-3.52
5/08	A	Canisius	11-	7	4	0	+	1.39	3.92
5/10	H	Nichols	11-	4	7	6		-1.39	0.67
5/12	H	Orchard Park	6-	14	-8	-8		-1.39	0.14
5/14	A	St Joseph Collegiate	7-	8	-1	1	–	1.39	-2.27
5/16	H	Canisius	9-	7	2	3		-1.39	-0.87
5/19	H	St Francis	6-	7	-1	-1		-1.39	-0.30
5/21	A	Niagara Wheatfield	8-	15	-7	-10	+	1.39	2.51
5/23	A	Grand Island	3-	7	-4	0	––	1.39	-4.19
5/26	H	St Joseph Collegiate	13-	7	6	4		-1.39	1.95
5/29	H	Canisius	9-	8	1	3		-1.39	-1.87
5/31	N	St Francis	4-	8	-4	-2		0.00	-1.91
									0.00	5.29

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	Penfield	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	992
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.47		Natl Power Rank	992
Natl SOS Rating	86.12		Natl SOS Rank	328
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	659
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1382
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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