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Towson Catholic Owls (7-9)

Region: MD C MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Brad Iuculano

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	at Key School (3-14)	MD B MIAA	74.9		L	8-	9		-0.425
3/30	INDIAN CREEK SCHOOL (3-7)	MD MILL	72.7		W	18-	4		0.000
3/31	JEMICY SCHOOL (0-11)	MD Indep	67.1		W	14-	4		0.000
3/31	FCA LACROSSE (5-4)	MD Indep	80.5		W	7-	4		0.175
4/03	BALTIMORE LUTHERAN (6-9)	MD C MIAA	81.4	4	L	4-	5		-0.275
4/09	at Sandy Springs Friends (6-6)	MD MILL	80.6		L	6-	10		-0.275
4/13	at Beth TFiloh (1-12)	MD C MIAA	75.9	6	W	12-	2		0.075
4/17	at Mount Carmel (7-7)	MD C MIAA	81.3	5	W	7-	2		0.175
4/19	CARDINAL GIBBONS (10-4)	MD C MIAA	89.0	1	L	5-	11		-0.125
4/21	vs. Paul VI # (7-7)	DC WCAC	86.4		L	1-	13		-0.150
4/23	at Baltimore Lutheran (6-9)	MD C MIAA	81.4	4	W	9-	8		0.225
4/27	at Chapelgate Christian (12-5)	MD C MIAA	88.1	2	L	8-	18		-0.100
4/30	CHAPELGATE CHRISTIAN (12-5)	MD C MIAA	88.1	2	L	6-	11		-0.125
5/01	BETH TFILOH (1-12)	MD C MIAA	75.9	6	W	12-	1		0.075
5/04	MOUNT CARMEL (7-7)	MD C MIAA	81.3	5	L	7-	8		-0.325
5/08	at Cardinal Gibbons (10-4)	MD C MIAA	89.0	1	L	9-	10		-0.125
# Neutral site			80.8						-1.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	A	Key School	8-	9	-1	7	–––	0.72		-8.19
3/30	H	Indian Creek School	18-	4	14	11	+	-0.75		3.13
3/31	H	Jemicy School	14-	4	10	16	–––	-0.75		-6.41
3/31	H	FCA Lacrosse	7-	4	3	3		-0.75		-0.06
4/03	H	Baltimore Lutheran	4-	5	-1	1	–	-0.01	-2.09
4/09	A	Sandy Springs Friends	6-	10	-4	1	––	0.75		-5.44
4/13	A	Beth TFiloh	12-	2	10	7	+	0.01	2.59
4/17	A	Mount Carmel	7-	2	5	3		0.01	1.93
4/19	H	Cardinal Gibbons	5-	11	-6	-5		-0.01	-1.43
4/21	N	Paul VI	1-	13	-12	-4	–––	0.00		-8.43
4/23	A	Baltimore Lutheran	9-	8	1	1		0.01	-0.07
4/27	A	Chapelgate Christian	8-	18	-10	-6	––	0.01	-4.48
4/30	H	Chapelgate Christian	6-	11	-5	-5		-0.01	0.50
5/01	H	Beth TFiloh	12-	1	11	7	+	-0.01	3.57
5/04	H	Mount Carmel	7-	8	-1	3	––	-0.01	-4.09
5/08	A	Cardinal Gibbons	9-	10	-1	-5	+	0.01	3.59
									0.00	-25.40

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	H	Indian Creek School	18-	4	-3.13
3/31	H	Jemicy School	14-	4	6.41
4/13	A	Beth TFiloh	12-	2	0.00
4/21	N	Paul VI	1-	13	2.00
4/27	A	Chapelgate Christian	8-	18	0.00
5/01	H	Beth TFiloh	12-	1	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1371
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.82		Natl Power Rank	1371
Natl SOS Rating	70.54		Natl SOS Rank	1864
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	2714
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1523
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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