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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Troy Athens Red Hawks (17-4)

Region: MI 1State: MICoach: Bill Katsaros

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/27GROSSE POINTE SOUTH (15-6)MI 288.9W12-10 0.050  
3/29at Bloomfield Hills (8-8)MI 186.4W11- 7 0.075  
4/04BROTHER RICE (22-1)MI 198.21L4- 7 -0.175  
4/19at Ann Arbor Huron (6-7)MI 187.5W15- 3 0.075  
4/21FOREST HILLS CENTRAL (13-8)MI 289.9W12-11 0.075  
4/26at Ann Arbor Pioneer (18-3)MI 193.94W12- 8 0.275  
4/28UNIV DETROIT JESUIT (7-15)MI 187.9W12- 4 0.050  
4/30at Farmington Hills (9-12)MI 184.8W13- 3 0.000  
5/03at De La Salle (11-6)MI 290.28W15- 8 0.175  
5/05at Seneca Valley (8-9)PA 1DNORTH89.6L12-13 -0.325  
5/06at North Allegheny (13-6)PA 1DNORTH93.6L9-12 -0.225  
5/09DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (12-10)MI 290.110W14- 3 0.100  
5/11TROY (4-14)MI 181.6W15- 3 0.000  
5/15at Birmingham-Seaholm (11-10)MI 190.29W7- 6 0.200  
5/17CRANBROOK (14-6)MI 291.96W8- 7 0.150  
5/19TOLEDO ST JOHN'S (13-9)OH 1 Reg 192.1W14- 4 0.175  
5/22DETROIT CATHOLIC CENT (13-6)MI 192.95W17- 9 0.200  
5/23HOWELL (1-17)MI 174.5W19- 2 0.000  
5/30vs. Lansing Waverly # (9-8)MI 186.2W18- 4 0.000  
6/01vs. Ann Arbor Pioneer # (18-3)MI 193.94W9- 4 0.225  
6/06vs. Detroit Catholic Cent # (13-6)MI 192.95L7- 9 -0.250  
# Neutral site 87.4     0.85  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HGrosse Pointe South12-102   8       –––-1.67       -6.31
3/29ABloomfield Hills11-74   7       –1.67       -3.32
4/04HBrother Rice4-7-3   -3       -1.67       0.44
4/19AAnn Arbor Huron15-312   7       ++1.67       5.35
4/21HForest Hills Central12-111   7       ––-1.67       -5.86
4/26AAnn Arbor Pioneer12-84   -1       ++1.67       5.01
4/28HUniv Detroit Jesuit12-48   8       -1.67       0.33
4/30AFarmington Hills13-310   10       1.67       -0.44
5/03ADe La Salle15-87   3       ++1.67       4.10
5/05ASeneca Valley12-13-1   3       ––1.57       -4.09
5/06ANorth Allegheny9-12-3   -1       –1.57       -2.06
5/09HDetroit Country Day14-311   6       ++-1.67       4.82
5/11HTroy15-312   16       ––-1.67       -4.25
5/15ABirmingham-Seaholm7-61   2       1.67       -0.74
5/17HCranbrook8-71   4       –-1.67       -3.41
5/19HToledo St John's14-410   3       +++-1.27       6.56
5/22HDetroit Catholic Cent17-98   2       +++-1.67       6.09
5/23HHowell19-217   24       –––-1.67       -7.27
5/30NLansing Waverly18-414   11       +0.00       3.37
6/01NAnn Arbor Pioneer9-45   1       ++0.00       4.34
6/06NDetroit Catholic Cent7-9-2   0       –0.00       -2.24
         0.000.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/19AAnn Arbor Huron15-3-2.00
4/30AFarmington Hills13-30.44
5/09HDetroit Country Day14-3-1.00
5/11HTroy15-34.25
5/19HToledo St John's14-40.00
5/23HHowell19-27.27
5/30NLansing Waverly18-4-3.37
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 207
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.23   Natl Power Rank 207
Natl SOS Rating 84.30   Natl SOS Rank 452
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.85   Natl Quality Win Rank 356
W-L Pct Rating 0.81   W-L Pct Rank 238
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 17-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.7

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