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Trinity-Meadow View Tempest (10-4)

Region: VA 3 Indep

State: VA

Coach: Scott Niklason

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at J.E.B. Stuart (4-8)	VA Nationl	79.1		W	9-	4		0.075
3/30	at Trinity Christian (2-11)	VA 3 Indep	75.3		W	9-	1		0.000
4/03	at Seton School (12-4)	VA 3 Delaney	89.0	1	W	12-	4		0.275
4/04	MARET (3-9)	DC MAC	78.3		W	7-	5		0.025
4/18	FREDERICKSBURG ACADEMY (5-9)	VA 3 Delaney	80.2	6	W	10-	5		0.175
4/20	at Wakefield School (11-7)	VA 2 Delaney	88.8		L	7-	12		-0.200
4/21	vs. Seton School # (12-4)	VA 3 Delaney	89.0	1	L	4-	9		-0.225
4/26	SETON SCHOOL (12-4)	VA 3 Delaney	89.0	1	W	7-	6		0.275
4/28	at Miller School (4-8)	VA 3 VIC	80.9	5	W	5-	4	ot	0.200
4/28	vs. Hargrave Military Acad # (1-9)	VA 3 VIC	77.5	10	W	8-	4		0.075
5/02	at Georgetown Day (4-9)	DC MAC	77.2		L	7-	9		-0.475
5/09	at McLean School (9-3)	MD Indep	78.8		W	17-	7		0.075
5/11	TRINITY CHRISTIAN (2-11)	VA 3 Indep	75.3		W	13-	2		0.000
5/16	vs. Seton School # (12-4)	VA 3 Delaney	89.0	1	L	5-	7		-0.225
# Neutral site			81.2						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	J.E.B. Stuart	9-	4	5	7		0.76		-1.97
3/30	A	Trinity Christian	9-	1	8	10	–	0.33	-2.22
4/03	A	Seton School	12-	4	8	-1	+++	0.33	9.18
4/04	H	Maret	7-	5	2	9	–––	-0.91		-7.45
4/18	H	Fredericksburg Academy	10-	5	5	3		-0.33	1.53
4/20	A	Wakefield School	7-	12	-5	-2	–	0.35		-2.72
4/21	N	Seton School	4-	9	-5	-1	––	0.00	-4.16
4/26	H	Seton School	7-	6	1	-1		-0.33	1.51
4/28	A	Miller School	5-	4	1	2		0.33	-1.43
4/28	N	Hargrave Military Acad	8-	4	4	7	–	0.00	-3.36
5/02	A	Georgetown Day	7-	9	-2	9	–––	0.91		10.75
5/09	A	McLean School	17-	7	10	7	+	0.91		2.86
5/11	H	Trinity Christian	13-	2	11	11		-0.33	0.11
5/16	N	Seton School	5-	7	-2	-1		0.00	-1.16
									0.00	-20.02

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/09	A	McLean School	17-	7	0.00
5/11	H	Trinity Christian	13-	2	-0.11
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1135
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.86		Natl Power Rank	1135
Natl SOS Rating	71.10		Natl SOS Rank	1799
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	922
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	540
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.3


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