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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Tully Black Knights (14-6)

Conference: OSHL3Region: NY C Sec 3State: NYCoach: Stu Volan

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/02at Manlius-Pebble Hill (1-17)NY C Sec 381.4W16- 0 0.000  
4/07at Waterloo (10-11)NY C Sec 586.4W16- 5 0.075  
4/10BISHOP LUDDEN (4-12)NY C Sec 387.7W12- 8 0.050  
4/13ONONDAGA CENTRAL (12-7)NY C Sec 394.5W8- 5 0.225  
4/20vs. Christian Bros # (21-2)NY C Sec 398.43L5-15 -0.075  
4/21WATERLOO (10-11)NY C Sec 586.4W10- 0 0.000  
4/23SKANEATELES (15-6)NY C Sec 396.410L2- 7 -0.175  
4/26at Jordan-Elbridge (9-10)NY C Sec 392.4W10- 8 0.275  
4/28WESTHILL (9-10)NY C Sec 393.2L7-11 -0.275  
4/30at Lafayette (16-4)NY C Sec 397.37W9- 8 0.400  
5/02at Cazenovia Central (12-8)NY C Sec 394.3W10- 92ot0.300  
5/04MARCELLUS (9-10)NY C Sec 392.1W14- 9 0.175  
5/07MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (1-17)NY C Sec 381.4W16- 1 0.000  
5/10LAFAYETTE (16-4)NY C Sec 397.37L5-12 -0.175  
5/12FULTON (2-16)NY B Sec 386.0W16- 2 0.025  
5/14at Bishop Ludden (4-12)NY C Sec 387.7W15- 7 0.125  
5/16at Onondaga Central (12-7)NY C Sec 394.5W7- 6 0.300  
5/19at Christian Bros (21-2)NY C Sec 398.43L2-14 -0.050  
5/22CLINTON (8-11)NY C Sec 378.3W16- 2 0.000  
5/24WATERTOWN IHC (15-6)NY C Sec 394.6L7-15 -0.300  
# Neutral site 85.4     0.90  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02AManlius-Pebble Hill16-016   10       ++1.48       5.63
4/07AWaterloo16-511   7       ++1.30       4.02
4/10HBishop Ludden12-84   8       ––-1.48       -4.21
4/13HOnondaga Central8-53   1       -1.48       1.99
4/20NChristian Bros5-15-10   -7       –0.00       -3.10
4/21HWaterloo10-010   10       -1.30       0.41
4/23HSkaneateles2-7-5   -3       –-1.48       -2.37
4/26AJordan-Elbridge10-82   -1       +1.48       3.17
4/28HWesthill7-11-4   1       ––-1.48       -4.95
4/30ALafayette9-81   -6       +++1.48       7.08
5/02ACazenovia Central10-91   -2       +1.48       2.72
5/04HMarcellus14-95   3       +-1.48       2.35
5/07HManlius-Pebble Hill16-115   13       -1.48       1.67
5/10HLafayette5-12-7   -3       –-1.48       -3.88
5/12HFulton16-214   9       ++-1.48       4.88
5/14ABishop Ludden15-78   5       +1.48       2.76
5/16AOnondaga Central7-61   -2       +1.48       2.95
5/19AChristian Bros2-14-12   -8       –1.48       -3.62
5/22HClinton16-214   17       –-1.48       -3.26
5/24HWatertown IHC7-15-8   2       –––-1.48       -9.81
         0.004.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02AManlius-Pebble Hill16-0-5.63
4/07AWaterloo16-5-1.00
4/20NChristian Bros5-150.00
4/21HWaterloo10-0-0.41
5/07HManlius-Pebble Hill16-1-1.67
5/12HFulton16-2-4.00
5/19AChristian Bros2-142.00
5/22HClinton16-23.26
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 191
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.64   Natl Power Rank 191
Natl SOS Rating 80.58   Natl SOS Rank 828
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.90   Natl Quality Win Rank 303
W-L Pct Rating 0.70   W-L Pct Rank 575
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.0

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