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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Upper Arlington Golden Bears (20-1)

Conference: MIDWESTRegion: OH 1 Reg 1State: OHCoach: Ted Wolford

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/28THOMAS WORTHINGTON (11-9)OH 1 Reg 192.7W9- 5 0.025  
3/29at Westerville North (7-12)OH 1 Reg 187.2W15- 0 0.000  
4/07at Archbishop Moeller (16-5)OH 1 Reg 496.75W5- 0 0.150  
4/11at Dublin Coffman (11-9)OH 1 Reg 193.2W10- 3 0.075  
4/13BROTHER RICE (22-1)MI 198.2L6- 7ot-0.300  
4/14UNIV DETROIT JESUIT (7-15)MI 187.9W9- 2 0.000  
4/18DUBLIN SCIOTO (11-9)OH 1 Reg 292.9W8- 6 0.050  
4/25WORTHINGTON KILBOURNE (15-7)OH 1 Reg 296.26W11- 3 0.075  
4/28at Dublin Jerome (16-5)OH 1 Reg 296.94W7- 6 0.175  
5/02at Hilliard Davidson (0-15)OH 1 Reg 283.9W14- 2 0.000  
5/04CINCINNATI INDIAN HILL (11-6)OH 1 Reg 493.69W14- 3 0.000  
5/05at Toledo St John's (13-9)OH 1 Reg 191.2W12- 4 0.000  
5/09HILLIARD DARBY (2-15)OH 1 Reg 184.7W14- 1 0.000  
5/11CINCINNATI ST XAVIER (15-6)OH 1 Reg 494.87W13- 3 0.075  
5/12at Wooster (7-14)OH 1 Reg 386.8W14- 8 0.000  
5/19at Brother Rice (22-1)MI 198.2W10- 3 0.275  
5/20vs. Western Reserve Acad # (16-3)OH 1 Indep98.52W7- 5 0.275  
5/24THOMAS WORTHINGTON (11-9)OH 1 Reg 192.7W15- 2 0.025  
5/26DUBLIN COFFMAN (11-9)OH 1 Reg 193.2W15- 6 0.025  
5/30ARCHBISHOP MOELLER (16-5)OH 1 Reg 496.75W14- 5 0.125  
6/02vs. Hudson # (19-1)OH 1 Reg 397.53W14- 2 1.125  
# Neutral site 90.5     2.17  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/28HThomas Worthington9-54   9       ––-0.87       -4.83
3/29AWesterville North15-015   12       +0.87       2.79
4/07AArchbishop Moeller5-05   4       0.87       1.25
4/11ADublin Coffman10-37   7       0.87       0.20
4/13HBrother Rice6-7-1   2       –-1.27       -2.87
4/14HUniv Detroit Jesuit9-27   12       ––-1.27       -5.20
4/18HDublin Scioto8-62   8       ––-0.87       -5.68
4/25HWorthington Kilbourne11-38   7       -0.87       1.31
4/28ADublin Jerome7-61   3       0.87       -1.95
5/02AHilliard Davidson14-212   15       –0.87       -2.95
5/04HCincinnati Indian Hill14-311   10       -0.87       1.27
5/05AToledo St John's12-48   10       0.87       -1.82
5/09HHilliard Darby14-113   16       –-0.87       -3.36
5/11HCincinnati St Xavier13-310   7       +-0.87       2.79
5/12AWooster14-86   13       –––0.87       -7.02
5/19ABrother Rice10-37   -1       +++1.27       7.67
5/20NWestern Reserve Acad7-52   -1       +0.00       2.81
5/24HThomas Worthington15-213   9       ++-0.87       4.17
5/26HDublin Coffman15-69   9       -0.87       0.46
5/30HArchbishop Moeller14-59   5       +-0.87       3.50
6/02NHudson14-212   5       +++0.00       7.07
         0.00-0.40

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/29AWesterville North15-0-2.79
5/02AHilliard Davidson14-22.95
5/04HCincinnati Indian Hill14-3-1.27
5/09HHilliard Darby14-13.36
5/11HCincinnati St Xavier13-30.00
5/24HThomas Worthington15-2-3.00
6/02NHudson14-2-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 196.   Natl CCR Rank 14
Natl Poll Vote 97.   Natl Poll Rank 16
Natl Power Rating 98.85   Natl Power Rank 14
Natl SOS Rating 90.48   Natl SOS Rank 118
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.17   Natl Quality Win Rank 37
W-L Pct Rating 0.95   W-L Pct Rank 31
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 20-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 5-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 5.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 14-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 10.0

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