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University School Preppers (10-8)

Region: OH 2 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: Jack Fisher

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	at Kent Roosevelt (13-3)	OH 1 Reg 3	94.0		L	3-	12		-0.075
4/10	at Hudson (19-1)	OH 1 Reg 3	97.5		L	5-	13		0.000
4/14	at Hoover/No. Canton (14-3)	OH 1 Reg 3	91.8		L	3-	8		-0.125
4/17	at Shaker Heights (7-7)	OH 1 Reg 3	86.2		W	9-	8	ot	0.225
4/19	WALSH JESUIT (11-7)	OH 2 Reg 2	86.3	6	W	11-	4		0.125
4/24	WOOSTER (7-14)	OH 1 Reg 3	86.8		L	7-	8		-0.325
4/26	ROCKY RIVER (7-11)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.5		W	15-	3		0.000
4/28	CHAGRIN FALLS (5-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.0		W	13-	3		0.000
5/02	at Hawken School (12-11)	OH 2 Reg 2	85.8	7	W	10-	7		0.225
5/04	at Medina (8-8)	OH 1 Reg 3	90.9		L	7-	9		-0.150
5/08	CLEVELAND ST IGNATIUS (11-13)	OH 1 Reg 3	91.5		L	5-	7		-0.200
5/12	at Westlake (7-10)	OH 2 Reg 1	76.5		W	13-	2		0.000
5/15	GILMOUR ACADEMY (12-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8	8	W	11-	2		0.050
5/18	at Sylvania (17-6)	OH 4 North	89.9		L	7-	11		-0.175
5/22	WEST GEAUGA (4-13)	OH 2 Reg 1	70.3		W	15-	0		0.000
5/24	ROCKY RIVER (7-11)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.5		W	17-	1		0.000
5/26	GILMOUR ACADEMY (12-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8	8	W	8-	2		0.050
5/30	vs. Mariemont # (14-4)	OH 2 Reg 4	93.0	1	L	9-	10		-0.200
# Neutral site			85.2						-0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	A	Kent Roosevelt	3-	12	-9	-7		1.28		-1.77
4/10	A	Hudson	5-	13	-8	-11	+	1.28		2.71
4/14	A	Hoover/No. Canton	3-	8	-5	-5		1.28		-0.03
4/17	A	Shaker Heights	9-	8	1	1		1.28		0.43
4/19	H	Walsh Jesuit	11-	4	7	5		-1.68	1.61
4/24	H	Wooster	7-	8	-1	3	–	-1.28		-3.52
4/26	H	Rocky River	15-	3	12	12		-1.68	-0.10
4/28	H	Chagrin Falls	13-	3	10	12	–	-1.68	-2.19
5/02	A	Hawken School	10-	7	3	1	+	1.68	2.48
5/04	A	Medina	7-	9	-2	-4	+	1.28		2.12
5/08	H	Cleveland St Ignatius	5-	7	-2	-2		-1.28		0.14
5/12	A	Westlake	13-	2	11	11		1.68	-0.11
5/15	H	Gilmour Academy	11-	2	9	8		-1.68	0.80
5/18	A	Sylvania	7-	11	-4	-3		1.30		-0.85
5/22	H	West Geauga	15-	0	15	20	––	-1.68	-4.74
5/24	H	Rocky River	17-	1	16	12	+	-1.68	3.90
5/26	H	Gilmour Academy	8-	2	6	8	–	-1.68	-2.20
5/30	N	Mariemont	9-	10	-1	-2		0.00	0.55
									0.00	-0.77

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/26	H	Rocky River	15-	3	0.10
4/28	H	Chagrin Falls	13-	3	2.19
5/12	A	Westlake	13-	2	0.11
5/22	H	West Geauga	15-	0	4.74
5/24	H	Rocky River	17-	1	-3.90
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	711
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.06		Natl Power Rank	711
Natl SOS Rating	80.08		Natl SOS Rank	883
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	2374
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1076
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0


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