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Walpole Rebels (16-5)

Conference: Bay State

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Jason Andalo

Walpole's Ryan Izzo Commits to Massachusetts

"Walpole High senior Ryan Izzo has the opportunity to become the most prolific running back in state history ... But the gridiron was not the only place where Izzo has excelled. He was a key component in the midfield during the Rebels' run to the Division 2 state title last spring ... [and decided] recently to verbally commit to play lacrosse at Massachusetts." Read the full story at the Daily News Transcript. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/30	MILTON (7-13)	MA 2	86.6		W	16-	3	0.000
4/09	at Braintree (8-10)	MA 1	88.2		W	10-	4	0.125
4/19	KING PHILIP (10-9)	MA 2	88.6		W	12-	3	0.050
4/21	at Dover-Sherborn (17-4)	MA 3	92.0		L	4-	9	-0.275
4/23	at Newton North (6-13)	MA 1	86.7		W	16-	7	0.100
4/25	at Norwood (7-13)	MA 2	85.9		W	13-	1	0.050
5/01	WELLESLEY (18-5)	MA 2	93.4	8	L	8-	9	-0.275
5/03	at Dedham (0-16)	MA 3	75.2		W	16-	4	0.000
5/04	at Milton (7-13)	MA 2	86.6		W	16-	6	0.050
5/07	DEDHAM (0-16)	MA 3	75.2		W	15-	2	0.000
5/09	NEEDHAM (17-5)	MA 1	93.3		L	4-	6	-0.250
5/10	at Natick (10-11)	MA 2	87.8		W	14-	6	0.075
5/15	at Weymouth (15-5)	MA 1	91.2		L	10-	11	-0.300
5/16	BROOKLINE (3-17)	MA 1	82.4		W	19-	6	0.000
5/18	NORWOOD (7-13)	MA 2	85.9		W	11-	5	0.000
5/21	FRAMINGHAM (7-10)	MA 1	87.5		W	13-	3	0.025
5/23	at Wellesley (18-5)	MA 2	93.4	8	W	9-	6	0.275
5/24	NATICK (10-11)	MA 2	87.8		W	16-	2	0.000
5/29	NATICK (10-11)	MA 2	87.8		W	15-	4	0.000
6/01	MASCONOMET (13-8)	MA 2	90.2		W	14-	9	0.150
6/05	at Wayland (17-4)	MA 2	93.0		L	10-	11	-0.250
			85.9					-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/30	H	Milton	16-	3	13	10	+	-1.16	3.03
4/09	A	Braintree	10-	4	6	5		1.16	0.65
4/19	H	King Philip	12-	3	9	8		-1.16	1.50
4/21	A	Dover-Sherborn	4-	9	-5	1	––	1.16	-5.53
4/23	A	Newton North	16-	7	9	6	+	1.16	2.87
4/25	A	Norwood	13-	1	12	8	++	1.16	4.36
5/01	H	Wellesley	8-	9	-1	1		-1.16	-1.98
5/03	A	Dedham	16-	4	12	16	––	1.16	-4.37
5/04	A	Milton	16-	6	10	8	+	1.16	2.35
5/07	H	Dedham	15-	2	13	19	––	-1.16	-5.69
5/09	H	Needham	4-	6	-2	0	–	-1.16	-2.23
5/10	A	Natick	14-	6	8	7		1.16	0.63
5/15	A	Weymouth	10-	11	-1	2	–	1.16	-2.82
5/16	H	Brookline	19-	6	13	13		-1.16	-0.11
5/18	H	Norwood	11-	5	6	10	–	-1.16	-3.95
5/21	H	Framingham	13-	3	10	9		-1.16	1.12
5/23	A	Wellesley	9-	6	3	-1	++	1.16	4.33
5/24	H	Natick	16-	2	14	10	++	-1.16	4.31
5/29	H	Natick	15-	4	11	10		-1.16	1.31
6/01	H	Masconomet	14-	9	5	4		-1.16	1.07
6/05	A	Wayland	10-	11	-1	0		1.16	-0.85
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	H	Milton	16-	3	-3.03
4/25	A	Norwood	13-	1	-2.00
5/03	A	Dedham	16-	4	4.37
5/04	A	Milton	16-	6	0.00
5/07	H	Dedham	15-	2	5.69
5/16	H	Brookline	19-	6	0.11
5/21	H	Framingham	13-	3	0.00
5/24	H	Natick	16-	2	-4.31
5/29	H	Natick	15-	4	-1.31
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.	Natl CCR Rank	302
Natl Poll Vote	n/a	Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.28	Natl Power Rank	302
Natl SOS Rating	81.14	Natl SOS Rank	765
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45	Natl Quality Win Rank	2116
W-L Pct Rating	0.76	W-L Pct Rank	379
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0