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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Ward Melville Patriots (15-5)

Conference: Div IRegion: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Mike Hoppey

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/27SYOSSET (17-3)NY A Sec 898.7L9-10 -0.250  
4/07at Garden City (18-3)NY B Sec 899.2L9-15 -0.200  
4/10at William Floyd (10-9)NY A Sec 1191.1W14- 9 0.000  
4/13COMMACK (7-10)NY A Sec 1190.2W10- 4 0.000  
4/16MIDDLE COUNTRY (4-13)NY A Sec 1186.7W16- 1 0.000  
4/18at Lindenhurst (10-8)NY A Sec 1194.1W14- 5 0.100  
4/20at Bay Shore (9-10)NY A Sec 1193.7W12- 6 0.125  
4/24at Smithtown West (15-4)NY A Sec 1197.84L13-14ot-0.225  
4/26PATCHOGUE-MEDFORD (10-8)NY A Sec 1192.2W13- 2 0.000  
4/28at Yorktown (12-10)NY A Sec 194.7W7- 2 0.200  
5/02WEST ISLIP (22-1)NY A Sec 1199.81L5-11 -0.175  
5/04at West Babylon (6-11)NY A Sec 1189.3W13- 5 0.025  
5/08SMITHTOWN EAST (16-4)NY A Sec 1197.76W14-11 0.225  
5/10at Sachem North (10-7)NY A Sec 1194.2W11- 6 0.100  
5/14SACHEM EAST (10-8)NY A Sec 1194.5W13- 3 0.075  
5/16HALF HOLLOW HILLS EAST (11-7)NY A Sec 1192.7W12- 4 0.025  
5/18at Northport (8-10)NY A Sec 1191.9W16- 5 0.025  
5/24BAY SHORE (9-10)NY A Sec 1193.7W9- 5 0.075  
5/29SMITHTOWN WEST (15-4)NY A Sec 1197.84W14- 4 0.225  
6/02vs. West Islip # (22-1)NY A Sec 1199.81L3-10 -0.150  
# Neutral site 90.9     0.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HSyosset9-10-1   0       -0.98       -0.96
4/07AGarden City9-15-6   -2       0.98       -3.56
4/10AWilliam Floyd14-95   10       ––0.83       -4.81
4/13HCommack10-46   11       ––-0.83       -4.96
4/16HMiddle Country16-115   13       -0.83       1.61
4/18ALindenhurst14-59   6       +0.83       3.43
4/20ABay Shore12-66   5       0.83       0.55
4/24ASmithtown West13-14-1   -1       0.83       -0.47
4/26HPatchogue-Medford13-211   10       -0.83       1.01
4/28AYorktown7-25   2       +1.00       2.95
5/02HWest Islip5-11-6   -3       -0.83       -2.63
5/04AWest Babylon13-58   9       0.83       -1.34
5/08HSmithtown East14-113   1       -0.83       1.66
5/10ASachem North11-65   6       0.83       -0.76
5/14HSachem East13-310   7       +-0.83       2.80
5/16HHalf Hollow Hills East12-48   9       -0.83       -0.98
5/18ANorthport16-511   9       0.83       1.92
5/24HBay Shore9-54   7       -0.83       -3.10
5/29HSmithtown West14-410   1       +++-0.83       8.87
6/02NWest Islip3-10-7   -4       0.00       -2.80
         0.00-1.56

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/16HMiddle Country16-1-1.61
4/26HPatchogue-Medford13-2-1.01
5/14HSachem East13-30.00
5/18ANorthport16-5-1.00
5/29HSmithtown West14-40.00
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 98.   Natl CCR Rank 54
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 97.70   Natl Power Rank 42
Natl SOS Rating 91.78   Natl SOS Rank 83
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 1007
W-L Pct Rating 0.75   W-L Pct Rank 420
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.3



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