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West Genesee Wildcats (22-1)

Conference: OSHLN1Region: NY A Sec 3State: NYCoach: Mike Messere

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/27at East Syracuse-Minoa (12-8)NY B Sec 394.9W20- 8 0.025  
3/29SKANEATELES (15-6)NY C Sec 396.410W13- 3 0.025  
4/03at Baldwinsville (16-5)NY A Sec 397.55W14-10 0.150  
4/07AUBURN (8-11)NY A Sec 392.9W14- 1 0.000  
4/10LIVERPOOL (8-11)NY A Sec 393.7W15- 6 0.000  
4/12at Cicero-North Syracuse (14-5)NY A Sec 397.28W14- 8 0.100  
4/14JAMESVILLE-DEWITT (22-3)NY B Sec 398.62W14- 9 0.075  
4/17OSWEGO (12-7)NY A Sec 395.1W12- 3 0.000  
4/20at Henninger (5-13)NY A Sec 389.4W22- 6 0.000  
4/24BALDWINSVILLE (16-5)NY A Sec 397.55W10- 4 0.075  
4/28CORCORAN (4-14)NY A Sec 387.2W18- 4 0.000  
5/01at Auburn (8-11)NY A Sec 392.9W16- 3 0.000  
5/04NOTTINGHAM (2-17)NY B Sec 387.4W25- 0 0.000  
5/08at Fayetteville-Manlius (14-5)NY A Sec 396.49W14- 3 0.075  
5/10at Liverpool (8-11)NY A Sec 393.7W16- 3 0.000  
5/15CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (14-5)NY A Sec 397.28W15- 3 0.025  
5/18CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)NY A Sec 389.8W19- 5 0.000  
5/25CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)NY A Sec 389.8W15- 3 0.000  
5/29vs. Fayetteville-Manlius # (14-5)NY A Sec 396.49W15- 5 0.050  
6/01vs. Baldwinsville # (16-5)NY A Sec 397.55W13- 8 0.100  
6/05vs. Vestal # (17-3)NY A Sec 496.5W14- 2 0.175  
6/07vs. Irondequoit # (19-3)NY A Sec 598.8W11- 3 0.225  
6/09vs. West Islip # (22-1)NY A Sec 1199.8L4- 9 -0.250  
# Neutral site 90.0     0.85  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27AEast Syracuse-Minoa20-812   9       +1.48       2.83
3/29HSkaneateles13-310   9       -1.48       0.66
4/03ABaldwinsville14-104   4       1.48       -0.36
4/07HAuburn14-113   14       -1.48       -0.62
4/10HLiverpool15-69   13       -1.48       -3.91
4/12ACicero-North Syracuse14-86   6       1.48       0.30
4/14HJamesville-DeWitt14-95   7       -1.48       -1.64
4/17HOswego12-39   12       -1.48       -2.57
4/20AHenninger22-616   15       1.48       1.37
4/24HBaldwinsville10-46   7       -1.48       -1.32
4/28HCorcoran18-414   20       –––-1.48       -6.23
5/01AAuburn16-313   11       +1.48       2.35
5/04HNottingham25-025   20       ++-1.48       5.03
5/08AFayetteville-Manlius14-311   7       ++1.48       4.13
5/10ALiverpool16-313   10       +1.48       3.06
5/15HCicero-North Syracuse15-312   9       +-1.48       3.33
5/18HCentral Square19-514   17       -1.48       -2.60
5/25HCentral Square15-312   17       ––-1.48       -4.60
5/29NFayetteville-Manlius15-510   8       0.00       1.65
6/01NBaldwinsville13-85   6       0.00       -0.84
6/05NVestal14-212   3       +++0.00       8.85
6/07NIrondequoit11-38   1       +++0.00       7.15
6/09NWest Islip4-9-5   0       ––0.00       -4.80
         0.0011.20

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27AEast Syracuse-Minoa20-8-2.00
3/29HSkaneateles13-30.00
4/07HAuburn14-10.62
4/20AHenninger22-6-1.37
4/28HCorcoran18-46.23
5/01AAuburn16-3-2.35
5/04HNottingham25-0-5.03
5/08AFayetteville-Manlius14-3-1.00
5/10ALiverpool16-3-3.06
5/15HCicero-North Syracuse15-3-2.00
5/18HCentral Square19-52.60
5/25HCentral Square15-34.60
5/29NFayetteville-Manlius15-50.00
6/05NVestal14-2-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 199.   Natl CCR Rank 2
Natl Poll Vote 99.   Natl Poll Rank 3
Natl Power Rating 99.65   Natl Power Rank 4
Natl SOS Rating 89.84   Natl SOS Rank 150
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.85   Natl Quality Win Rank 336
W-L Pct Rating 0.96   W-L Pct Rank 26
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 22-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 9-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 7.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 13-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 8.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.0



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