| Conference: Div I | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: Scott Craig |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/31 | A | Massapequa | 13- | 5 | 8 | 2 | ++ | 0.98 | | 5.81 |
4/07 | A | Chaminade | 6- | 7 | -1 | 0 | | 1.09 | | -0.51 |
4/10 | A | Sachem North | 14- | 2 | 12 | 10 | + | 0.83 | 2.05 | |
4/13 | H | Sachem East | 16- | 5 | 11 | 11 | | -0.83 | -0.40 | |
4/16 | H | Patchogue-Medford | 14- | 2 | 12 | 14 | | -0.83 | -2.19 | |
4/18 | A | Northport | 17- | 5 | 12 | 13 | | 0.83 | -1.27 | |
4/20 | A | West Babylon | 12- | 1 | 11 | 14 | | 0.83 | -2.54 | |
4/24 | H | Smithtown East | 17- | 6 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -0.83 | 5.46 | |
4/26 | H | Middle Country | 15- | 2 | 13 | 18 | | -0.83 | -4.59 | |
4/28 | H | Mahopac | 20- | 1 | 19 | 13 | +++ | -1.00 | | 6.27 |
5/02 | A | Ward Melville | 11- | 5 | 6 | 3 | + | 0.83 | 2.63 | |
5/04 | A | Bay Shore | 15- | 3 | 12 | 10 | + | 0.83 | 2.36 | |
5/08 | H | Smithtown West | 10- | 6 | 4 | 5 | | -0.83 | -1.32 | |
5/10 | A | William Floyd | 17- | 1 | 16 | 14 | | 0.83 | 1.99 | |
5/14 | H | Commack | 15- | 2 | 13 | 15 | | -0.83 | -2.15 | |
5/16 | H | East Islip | 18- | 3 | 15 | 15 | | -0.83 | -0.35 | |
5/18 | A | Lindenhurst | 17- | 6 | 11 | 10 | | 0.83 | 1.23 | |
5/24 | H | Half Hollow Hills East | 16- | 5 | 11 | 13 | | -0.83 | -2.18 | |
5/29 | H | Smithtown East | 11- | 7 | 4 | 6 | | -0.83 | -1.54 | |
6/02 | N | Ward Melville | 10- | 3 | 7 | 4 | + | 0.00 | 2.80 | |
6/05 | N | Syosset | 17- | 6 | 11 | 1 | +++ | 0.00 | | 9.87 |
6/07 | N | Yorktown | 12- | 7 | 5 | 5 | | 0.00 | | -0.20 |
6/09 | N | West Genesee | 9- | 4 | 5 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | | 4.80 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 26.04 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/10 | A | Sachem North | 14- | 2 | -2.05 |
4/13 | H | Sachem East | 16- | 5 | 0.40 |
4/16 | H | Patchogue-Medford | 14- | 2 | 2.19 |
4/18 | A | Northport | 17- | 5 | 1.27 |
4/20 | A | West Babylon | 12- | 1 | 2.54 |
4/24 | H | Smithtown East | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
4/26 | H | Middle Country | 15- | 2 | 4.59 |
4/28 | H | Mahopac | 20- | 1 | -6.27 |
5/04 | A | Bay Shore | 15- | 3 | -2.36 |
5/10 | A | William Floyd | 17- | 1 | -1.99 |
5/14 | H | Commack | 15- | 2 | 2.15 |
5/16 | H | East Islip | 18- | 3 | 0.35 |
5/18 | A | Lindenhurst | 17- | 6 | -1.23 |
5/24 | H | Half Hollow Hills East | 16- | 5 | 2.18 |
6/05 | N | Syosset | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.01 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 200. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 100. | | Natl Poll Rank | 1 |
| Natl Power Rating | 99.85 | | Natl Power Rank | 1 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 91.01 | | Natl SOS Rank | 98 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 2.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 32 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.96 | | W-L Pct Rank | 27 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 22-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 9.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 5.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 6.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 11-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.0 |
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