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Conrad Weiser Scouts (13-8)

Region: PA PVLL-BC

State: PA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	PENN MANOR (10-9)	PA LL04	82.5		L	5-	18		-0.325
3/28	BETHLEHEM AREA (3-6)	PA Indep	83.1		W	10-	8		0.200
3/31	at Palmyra (10-9)	PA Mid 1	82.3		L	4-	14		-0.250
4/02	at Governor Mifflin (7-8)	PA PVLL-BC	82.0		L	6-	7	ot	-0.325
4/04	GARDEN SPOT (2-9)	PA PVLL-BC	79.3		W	18-	8		0.000
4/09	WYOMISSING (3-11)	PA PVLL-BC	80.4		W	10-	5		0.050
4/11	at Exeter (0-10)	PA PVLL-BC	77.5		W	19-	3		0.000
4/14	vs. Saucon Valley # (4-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.7		W	7-	4		0.175
4/18	GOVERNOR MIFFLIN (7-8)	PA PVLL-BC	82.0		W	12-	4		0.125
4/20	WILSON WEST LAWN (11-5)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		L	9-	10	3ot	-0.325
4/21	at Garden Spot (2-9)	PA PVLL-BC	79.3		W	12-	4		0.025
4/25	at Wyomissing (3-11)	PA PVLL-BC	80.4		W	16-	2		0.125
4/27	at Nazareth HS (7-9)	PA PVLL-LV	83.3		W	8-	7		0.250
4/28	at Daniel Boone (9-3)	PA Indep	85.2		L	9-	10	ot	-0.175
5/02	at Wilson West Lawn (11-5)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		W	11-	3		0.250
5/04	vs. Exeter # (0-10)	PA PVLL-BC	77.5		W	15-	2		0.000
5/06	at William Allen (3-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.5		L	10-	11	ot	-0.275
5/09	vs. Wilson West Lawn # (11-5)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		W	15-	14		0.200
5/12	SAUCON VALLEY (4-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.7		W	5-	4		0.150
5/15	SOUTHERN LEHIGH (10-7)	PA PVLL-LV	89.0		L	3-	16		-0.025
5/17	COCALICO (15-5)	PA LL04	84.2		L	10-	15		-0.275
# Neutral site			73.2						-0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Penn Manor	5-	18	-13	3	–––	-1.42		15.55
3/28	H	Bethlehem Area	10-	8	2	2		-1.29	0.46
3/31	A	Palmyra	4-	14	-10	0	–––	1.42		-9.94
4/02	A	Governor Mifflin	6-	7	-1	3	–	1.29	-3.54
4/04	H	Garden Spot	18-	8	10	12		-1.29	-1.94
4/09	H	Wyomissing	10-	5	5	8	–	-1.29	-3.03
4/11	A	Exeter	19-	3	16	14	+	1.29	2.24
4/14	N	Saucon Valley	7-	4	3	3		0.00	0.38
4/18	H	Governor Mifflin	12-	4	8	5	+	-1.29	2.88
4/20	H	Wilson West Lawn	9-	10	-1	3	–	-1.29	-3.89
4/21	A	Garden Spot	12-	4	8	9		1.29	-1.35
4/25	A	Wyomissing	16-	2	14	5	+++	1.29	8.56
4/27	A	Nazareth HS	8-	7	1	0		1.29	1.26
4/28	A	Daniel Boone	9-	10	-1	-3		1.29	1.95
5/02	A	Wilson West Lawn	11-	3	8	0	+++	1.29	7.69
5/04	N	Exeter	15-	2	13	15	–	0.00	-2.05
5/06	A	William Allen	10-	11	-1	1	–	1.29	-2.49
5/09	N	Wilson West Lawn	15-	14	1	2		0.00	-0.60
5/12	H	Saucon Valley	5-	4	1	4	–	-1.29	-2.92
5/15	H	Southern Lehigh	3-	16	-13	-9	–	-1.29	-3.60
5/17	H	Cocalico	10-	15	-5	1	––	-1.42		-5.86
									0.00	-31.35

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Penn Manor	5-	18	0.00
3/31	A	Palmyra	4-	14	0.00
4/04	H	Garden Spot	18-	8	1.94
4/11	A	Exeter	19-	3	-2.24
4/25	A	Wyomissing	16-	2	-4.00
5/04	N	Exeter	15-	2	2.05
5/15	H	Southern Lehigh	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1258
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.68		Natl Power Rank	1258
Natl SOS Rating	58.51		Natl SOS Rank	2535
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	2175
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	843
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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