| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 2 | State: MA | Coach: Chris Gelinas |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/30 | at Norwood (7-13) | MA 2 | 85.9 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.050 |
4/05 | at Milton (7-13) | MA 2 | 86.6 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.050 |
4/07 | at Medfield (23-2) | MA 2 | 97.5 | 2 | L | 2- | 13 | | -0.100 |
4/09 | at Framingham (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.075 |
4/20 | at Southington (6-10) | CT L | 87.1 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/21 | at South Hadley (16-5) | MA 2 | 95.2 | | L | 4- | 5 | ot | -0.175 |
4/23 | NEEDHAM (17-5) | MA 1 | 93.3 | | L | 3- | 4 | ot | -0.250 |
4/25 | NATICK (10-11) | MA 2 | 87.8 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | at Weymouth (15-5) | MA 1 | 91.2 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.200 |
5/01 | at Walpole (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.275 |
5/04 | NORWOOD (7-13) | MA 2 | 85.9 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | at Milton (7-13) | MA 2 | 86.6 | | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.050 |
5/09 | at Brookline (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/10 | DEDHAM (0-16) | MA 3 | 75.2 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/14 | at Dedham (0-16) | MA 3 | 75.2 | | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | BRAINTREE (8-10) | MA 1 | 88.2 | | W | 8- | 2 | | 0.050 |
5/17 | at Natick (10-11) | MA 2 | 87.8 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.050 |
5/18 | HINGHAM (11-10) | MA 2 | 90.8 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.175 |
5/21 | NEWTON NORTH (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.025 |
5/23 | WALPOLE (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.275 |
6/02 | ARLINGTON (13-7) | MA 2 | 90.9 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.150 |
6/05 | at Mansfield (17-4) | MA 2 | 92.7 | | W | 14- | 13 | ot | 0.275 |
6/08 | at Medfield (23-2) | MA 2 | 97.5 | 2 | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.100 |
| | 87.3 | | | | | | 0.65 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/30 | A | Norwood | 8- | 5 | 3 | 8 | –– | 1.16 | -4.81 | |
4/05 | A | Milton | 11- | 3 | 8 | 8 | | 1.16 | 0.17 | |
4/07 | A | Medfield | 2- | 13 | -11 | -6 | –– | 1.16 | -5.26 | |
4/09 | A | Framingham | 12- | 3 | 9 | 7 | + | 1.16 | 2.26 | |
4/20 | A | Southington | 9- | 4 | 5 | 5 | | 1.43 | | 0.15 |
4/21 | A | South Hadley | 4- | 5 | -1 | -3 | | 0.92 | | 1.78 |
4/23 | H | Needham | 3- | 4 | -1 | 0 | | -1.16 | -1.41 | |
4/25 | H | Natick | 12- | 1 | 11 | 10 | | -1.16 | 1.14 | |
4/27 | A | Weymouth | 11- | 5 | 6 | 2 | ++ | 1.16 | 4.00 | |
5/01 | A | Walpole | 9- | 8 | 1 | -1 | | 1.16 | 1.98 | |
5/04 | H | Norwood | 15- | 5 | 10 | 10 | | -1.16 | -0.12 | |
5/07 | A | Milton | 11- | 2 | 9 | 8 | | 1.16 | 1.17 | |
5/09 | A | Brookline | 15- | 5 | 10 | 11 | | 1.16 | -0.97 | |
5/10 | H | Dedham | 17- | 2 | 15 | 19 | – | -1.16 | -3.86 | |
5/14 | A | Dedham | 16- | 1 | 15 | 17 | | 1.16 | -1.54 | |
5/15 | H | Braintree | 8- | 2 | 6 | 8 | | -1.16 | -1.84 | |
5/17 | A | Natick | 15- | 4 | 11 | 8 | + | 1.16 | 3.46 | |
5/18 | H | Hingham | 11- | 3 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -1.16 | 4.68 | |
5/21 | H | Newton North | 11- | 4 | 7 | 9 | | -1.16 | -1.62 | |
5/23 | H | Walpole | 6- | 9 | -3 | 1 | –– | -1.16 | -4.33 | |
6/02 | H | Arlington | 15- | 4 | 11 | 4 | +++ | -1.16 | 7.25 | |
6/05 | A | Mansfield | 14- | 13 | 1 | -1 | | 1.16 | 1.90 | |
6/08 | A | Medfield | 8- | 16 | -8 | -6 | – | 1.16 | -2.26 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 1.93 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/07 | A | Medfield | 2- | 13 | 1.00 |
4/25 | H | Natick | 12- | 1 | -1.14 |
5/04 | H | Norwood | 15- | 5 | 0.12 |
5/09 | A | Brookline | 15- | 5 | 0.97 |
5/10 | H | Dedham | 17- | 2 | 3.86 |
5/14 | A | Dedham | 16- | 1 | 1.54 |
5/17 | A | Natick | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
6/02 | H | Arlington | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.19 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 298 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.38 | | Natl Power Rank | 298 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.26 | | Natl SOS Rank | 456 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.65 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 457 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.78 | | W-L Pct Rank | 305 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
|
