| Region: FL 8B Centrl | State: FL | Coach: Bill Baker |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/12 | at Boone (11-8) | FL 6B Centrl | 85.3 | | L | 2- | 8 | | -0.050 |
2/14 | at Edgewater (9-7) | FL 7B Centrl | 85.4 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.050 |
2/21 | UNIVERSITY (2-13) | FL 9B Centrl | 76.2 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.175 |
2/23 | DR. PHILLIPS (1-14) | FL 8B Centrl | 72.4 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.125 |
3/01 | at Winter Park (19-6) | FL 6B Centrl | 93.5 | 3 | L | 0- | 24 | | 0.000 |
3/02 | at East Ridge (0-14) | FL 8B Centrl | 67.8 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.075 |
3/07 | at Lake Mary (11-6) | FL 4B Centrl | 87.2 | 10 | L | 5- | 11 | | 0.000 |
3/10 | vs. St John's # (11-5) | TX 1 South | 91.2 | | L | 3- | 10 | | 0.000 |
3/23 | at Ocoee (5-9) | FL 8B Centrl | 78.0 | | L | 1- | 5 | | -0.200 |
3/24 | at Lake Brantley (18-4) | FL 4B Centrl | 94.3 | 1 | L | 0- | 17 | | 0.000 |
3/28 | LAKE HOWELL (7-7) | FL 5B Centrl | 84.5 | | L | 2- | 12 | | -0.125 |
3/30 | OLYMPIA (7-9) | FL 7B Centrl | 83.8 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.125 |
4/02 | TIMBER CREEK (14-3) | FL 9B Centrl | 92.3 | 4 | L | 2- | 18 | | 0.000 |
4/04 | FREEDOM (9-7) | FL 9B Centrl | 82.5 | | L | 3- | 15 | | -0.150 |
4/06 | SEMINOLE (2-12) | FL 4B Centrl | 77.3 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.300 |
4/11 | DR. PHILLIPS (1-14) | FL 8B Centrl | 72.4 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/13 | at Ocoee (5-9) | FL 8B Centrl | 78.0 | | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.300 |
4/16 | at Maclay (11-6) | FL 1B Centrl | 85.8 | | L | 3- | 15 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 81.2 | | | | | | -0.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/12 | A | Boone | 2- | 8 | -6 | -8 | | 1.59 | 1.90 | |
2/14 | A | Edgewater | 4- | 10 | -6 | -8 | + | 1.59 | 2.10 | |
2/21 | H | University | 10- | 3 | 7 | 3 | + | -1.59 | 3.52 | |
2/23 | H | Dr. Phillips | 12- | 4 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.59 | 2.52 | |
3/01 | A | Winter Park | 0- | 24 | -24 | -20 | –– | 1.59 | -4.26 | |
3/02 | A | East Ridge | 12- | 2 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.59 | 2.64 | |
3/07 | A | Lake Mary | 5- | 11 | -6 | -11 | ++ | 1.59 | 5.46 | |
3/10 | N | St John's | 3- | 10 | -7 | -13 | ++ | 0.00 | | 5.72 |
3/23 | A | Ocoee | 1- | 5 | -4 | -2 | | 1.59 | -1.73 | |
3/24 | A | Lake Brantley | 0- | 17 | -17 | -19 | + | 1.59 | 2.40 | |
3/28 | H | Lake Howell | 2- | 12 | -10 | -5 | –– | -1.59 | -4.64 | |
3/30 | H | Olympia | 5- | 9 | -4 | -5 | | -1.59 | 0.98 | |
4/02 | H | Timber Creek | 2- | 18 | -16 | -13 | – | -1.59 | -2.97 | |
4/04 | H | Freedom | 3- | 15 | -12 | -4 | ––– | -1.59 | -8.45 | |
4/06 | H | Seminole | 6- | 8 | -2 | 2 | –– | -1.59 | -4.24 | |
4/11 | H | Dr. Phillips | 12- | 4 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.59 | 2.52 | |
4/13 | A | Ocoee | 5- | 3 | 2 | -2 | ++ | 1.59 | 4.27 | |
4/16 | A | Maclay | 3- | 15 | -12 | -10 | – | 1.59 | -2.03 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 5.72 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/01 | A | Winter Park | 0- | 24 | 4.26 |
3/02 | A | East Ridge | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
3/24 | A | Lake Brantley | 0- | 17 | -2.40 |
3/28 | H | Lake Howell | 2- | 12 | 0.00 |
4/02 | H | Timber Creek | 2- | 18 | 2.97 |
4/04 | H | Freedom | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
4/16 | A | Maclay | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.49 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 79. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1884 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 78.46 | | Natl Power Rank | 1884 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 72.59 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1636 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1710 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.28 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2044 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-13 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -5.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -19.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -15.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-10 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -11.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
|
