| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Chris Guarino |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | H | Morgan-Clinton | 8- | 12 | -4 | -4 | | -1.70 | -0.05 | |
4/16 | H | Amity Regional | 1- | 15 | -14 | -12 | – | -1.70 | -2.44 | |
4/19 | A | Hamden | 5- | 12 | -7 | -9 | | 1.70 | 1.53 | |
4/21 | A | Masuk-Monroe | 2- | 16 | -14 | -10 | – | 1.70 | -3.58 | |
4/24 | H | Shelton | 7- | 9 | -2 | -2 | | -1.70 | 0.16 | |
4/25 | A | Morgan-Clinton | 4- | 20 | -16 | -7 | ––– | 1.70 | -8.66 | |
4/28 | A | Notre Dame-West Haven | 7- | 6 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.70 | 3.58 | |
5/01 | H | Xavier | 10- | 12 | -2 | -4 | + | -1.70 | 2.04 | |
5/02 | A | Shelton | 7- | 6 | 1 | -6 | +++ | 1.70 | 6.55 | |
5/07 | A | Guilford | 3- | 19 | -16 | -14 | – | 1.70 | -2.06 | |
5/09 | H | North Haven | 10- | 9 | 1 | -3 | + | -1.70 | 3.82 | |
5/12 | H | Saint Bernard | 13- | 6 | 7 | 10 | – | -1.70 | -2.97 | |
5/14 | H | Valley Regional | 10- | 5 | 5 | 3 | + | -1.70 | 2.06 | |
5/21 | A | North Haven | 4- | 14 | -10 | -6 | – | 1.70 | -3.79 | |
5/23 | A | Newington | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | 1.70 | -0.38 | |
5/25 | H | Notre Dame-West Haven | 9- | 4 | 5 | 1 | ++ | -1.70 | 4.18 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/16 | H | Amity Regional | 1- | 15 | 2.44 |
4/21 | A | Masuk-Monroe | 2- | 16 | 4.00 |
4/25 | A | Morgan-Clinton | 4- | 20 | 6.00 |
5/07 | A | Guilford | 3- | 19 | 2.06 |
5/21 | A | North Haven | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.91 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 81. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1680 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 81.99 | | Natl Power Rank | 1680 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 73.26 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1560 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.52 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 570 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.38 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1722 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.0 |
| 
