| Region: VA Patriot | State: VA | Coach: Chris Brengel |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/13 | at Westfield (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 3- | 7 | | -0.100 |
3/15 | FAIRFAX (3-9) | VA Concord | 84.2 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.100 |
3/19 | MOUNT VERNON (7-9) | VA Nationl | 83.1 | | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/23 | at Chantilly (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | L | 5- | 6 | +ot | -0.150 |
3/27 | ANNANDALE (8-6) | VA Patriot | 89.2 | | W | 8- | 7 | +ot | 0.225 |
4/09 | LAKE BRADDOCK (4-11) | VA Patriot | 85.9 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/18 | at West Potomac (6-6) | VA Patriot | 86.3 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.325 |
4/24 | at South County (7-5) | VA Patriot | 89.0 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.275 |
4/26 | T.C. WILLIAMS (9-6) | VA Patriot | 87.1 | | L | 6- | 7 | ot | -0.375 |
4/30 | at Hayfield (14-2) | VA Patriot | 93.1 | 4 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.175 |
5/03 | at Robert E Lee (1-10) | VA Patriot | 75.9 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | WEST POTOMAC (6-6) | VA Patriot | 86.3 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.100 |
5/09 | LAKE BRADDOCK (4-11) | VA Patriot | 85.9 | | W | 5- | 4 | | 0.150 |
5/11 | vs. Annandale # (8-6) | VA Patriot | 89.2 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.250 |
5/15 | CHANTILLY (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | L | 2- | 8 | | -0.225 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.9 | | | | | | -0.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | A | Westfield | 3- | 7 | -4 | -6 | | 1.19 | 1.75 | |
3/15 | H | Fairfax | 10- | 2 | 8 | 6 | | -1.19 | 1.85 | |
3/19 | H | Mount Vernon | 13- | 4 | 9 | 10 | | -1.19 | -0.74 | |
3/23 | A | Chantilly | 5- | 6 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.19 | 2.73 | |
3/27 | H | Annandale | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | -1.19 | -0.24 | |
4/09 | H | Lake Braddock | 8- | 4 | 4 | 4 | | -1.19 | 0.20 | |
4/18 | A | West Potomac | 5- | 9 | -4 | 3 | ––– | 1.19 | -7.34 | |
4/24 | A | South County | 6- | 4 | 2 | -1 | + | 1.19 | 3.31 | |
4/26 | H | T.C. Williams | 6- | 7 | -1 | 5 | –– | -1.19 | -5.68 | |
4/30 | A | Hayfield | 6- | 9 | -3 | -3 | | 1.19 | 0.25 | |
5/03 | A | Robert E Lee | 16- | 3 | 13 | 11 | + | 1.19 | 2.13 | |
5/07 | H | West Potomac | 10- | 5 | 5 | 6 | | -1.19 | -0.72 | |
5/09 | H | Lake Braddock | 5- | 4 | 1 | 4 | – | -1.19 | -2.80 | |
5/11 | N | Annandale | 13- | 3 | 10 | 0 | +++ | 0.00 | 9.95 | |
5/15 | H | Chantilly | 2- | 8 | -6 | -1 | –– | -1.19 | -4.65 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
5/03 | A | Robert E Lee | 16- | 3 | -2.13 |
5/11 | N | Annandale | 13- | 3 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.14 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 557 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.09 | | Natl Power Rank | 557 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.21 | | Natl SOS Rank | 642 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.10 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1527 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.60 | | W-L Pct Rank | 914 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
|
