| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Rob McCarthy |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/30 | at Needham (17-5) | MA 1 | 93.3 | | L | 7- | 13 | | -0.125 |
4/05 | BROOKLINE (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | at Natick (10-11) | MA 2 | 87.8 | | W | 7- | 6 | ot | 0.150 |
4/12 | FRAMINGHAM (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.100 |
4/19 | WINCHESTER (12-8) | MA 2 | 90.1 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.225 |
4/21 | at Hingham (11-10) | MA 2 | 90.8 | | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.200 |
4/23 | at Dedham (0-16) | MA 3 | 75.2 | | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/25 | at Newton North (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | W | 6- | 3 | | 0.175 |
4/27 | WELLESLEY (18-5) | MA 2 | 93.4 | 8 | L | 5- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/02 | BRAINTREE (8-10) | MA 1 | 88.2 | | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.125 |
5/04 | NEEDHAM (17-5) | MA 1 | 93.3 | | L | 2- | 14 | | -0.175 |
5/07 | at Brookline (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.050 |
5/09 | at Norwood (7-13) | MA 2 | 85.9 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.125 |
5/11 | at Framingham (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.150 |
5/15 | WALPOLE (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.300 |
5/18 | NEWTON NORTH (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.125 |
5/21 | MILTON (7-13) | MA 2 | 86.6 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.075 |
5/23 | at Braintree (8-10) | MA 1 | 88.2 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.200 |
5/29 | PLYMOUTH (13-6) | MA 1 | 89.7 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.125 |
6/02 | at Duxbury (18-4) | MA 1 | 96.6 | 3 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.025 |
| | 87.0 | | | | | | 1.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/30 | A | Needham | 7- | 13 | -6 | -5 | | 1.16 | -0.94 | |
4/05 | H | Brookline | 18- | 3 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -1.16 | 4.87 | |
4/10 | A | Natick | 7- | 6 | 1 | 4 | – | 1.16 | -3.39 | |
4/12 | H | Framingham | 13- | 6 | 7 | 6 | | -1.16 | 1.10 | |
4/19 | H | Winchester | 6- | 5 | 1 | 1 | | -1.16 | -0.31 | |
4/21 | A | Hingham | 6- | 12 | -6 | -2 | – | 1.16 | -3.86 | |
4/23 | A | Dedham | 16- | 1 | 15 | 13 | | 1.16 | 1.61 | |
4/25 | A | Newton North | 6- | 3 | 3 | 3 | | 1.16 | -0.15 | |
4/27 | H | Wellesley | 5- | 11 | -6 | -2 | –– | -1.16 | -4.00 | |
5/02 | H | Braintree | 11- | 10 | 1 | 5 | – | -1.16 | -3.69 | |
5/04 | H | Needham | 2- | 14 | -12 | -3 | ––– | -1.16 | -9.25 | |
5/07 | A | Brookline | 11- | 6 | 5 | 8 | – | 1.16 | -2.81 | |
5/09 | A | Norwood | 12- | 6 | 6 | 5 | | 1.16 | 1.35 | |
5/11 | A | Framingham | 15- | 6 | 9 | 4 | ++ | 1.16 | 5.41 | |
5/15 | H | Walpole | 11- | 10 | 1 | -2 | + | -1.16 | 2.82 | |
5/18 | H | Newton North | 10- | 3 | 7 | 5 | | -1.16 | 1.54 | |
5/21 | H | Milton | 12- | 2 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.16 | 3.01 | |
5/23 | A | Braintree | 14- | 5 | 9 | 2 | +++ | 1.16 | 6.63 | |
5/29 | H | Plymouth | 10- | 7 | 3 | 5 | | -1.16 | -1.69 | |
6/02 | A | Duxbury | 5- | 12 | -7 | -9 | | 1.16 | 1.76 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | H | Brookline | 18- | 3 | -4.87 |
4/23 | A | Dedham | 16- | 1 | -1.61 |
5/04 | H | Needham | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
5/21 | H | Milton | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.22 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 515 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.21 | | Natl Power Rank | 515 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.15 | | Natl SOS Rank | 554 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 160 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 406 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
|
