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Williamsville East Flames (9-10)

Region: NY B Sec 6State: NYCoach: Ed Greenway

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/28ST FRANCIS (16-3)NY P Sec 693.35W8- 5 0.325  
3/29CANISIUS (5-13)NY P Sec 683.8W9- 3 0.225  
4/02at East Aurora (18-3)NY C Sec 690.96L7- 8 -0.150  
4/04NORTH TONAWANDA (0-14)NY A Sec 669.8W13- 0 0.000  
4/16CLARENCE (11-8)NY A Sec 687.0W8- 5 0.250  
4/19at Sweet Home (11-9)NY B Sec 688.010W5- 4ot0.325  
4/21at West Seneca West (6-11)NY A Sec 682.3L5- 8 -0.250  
4/23LAKE SHORE CENTRAL (0-15)NY B Sec 674.0W16- 1 0.000  
4/25GRAND ISLAND (7-10)NY B Sec 683.9L10-11 -0.275  
4/27at Hamburg (17-4)NY B Sec 693.93L4-16 -0.075  
4/30at Lancaster (7-9)NY A Sec 684.8W7- 4 0.300  
5/01at West Seneca East (13-5)NY B Sec 690.27L3- 6 -0.125  
5/04at Lockport (6-12)NY A Sec 678.2W9- 7 0.150  
5/07AMHERST (10-10)NY B Sec 688.79L3-13 -0.175  
5/11FRONTIER (14-5)NY A Sec 693.54L4- 8 -0.125  
5/15at Iroquois (6-13)NY B Sec 681.6W13-11 0.225  
5/17at Williamsville South (4-13)NY B Sec 679.3L3- 5 -0.325  
5/22WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (11-8)NY A Sec 690.08L9-16 -0.200  
5/25at Amherst (10-10)NY B Sec 688.79L6-12 -0.100  
 85.8     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/28HSt Francis8-53   -3       ++-1.39       5.59
3/29HCanisius9-36   1       ++-1.39       5.03
4/02AEast Aurora7-8-1   -4       +1.39       3.31
4/04HNorth Tonawanda13-013   17       –-1.39       -3.76
4/16HClarence8-53   0       +-1.39       2.82
4/19ASweet Home5-41   -3       +1.39       3.55
4/21AWest Seneca West5-8-3   0       –1.39       -3.24
4/23HLake Shore Central16-115   12       +-1.39       3.35
4/25HGrand Island10-11-1   1       –-1.39       -2.08
4/27AHamburg4-16-12   -7       ––1.39       -4.80
4/30ALancaster7-43   -2       ++1.39       4.66
5/01AWest Seneca East3-6-3   -5       1.39       1.51
5/04ALockport9-72   4       –1.39       -2.04
5/07HAmherst3-13-10   -3       –––-1.39       -6.67
5/11HFrontier4-8-4   -5       -1.39       0.97
5/15AIroquois13-112   1       1.39       1.07
5/17AWilliamsville South3-5-2   3       ––1.39       -4.73
5/22HWilliamsville North9-16-7   -2       ––-1.39       -4.65
5/25AAmherst6-12-6   -6       1.39       0.11
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/04HNorth Tonawanda13-03.76
4/23HLake Shore Central16-1-3.35
4/27AHamburg4-162.00
5/07HAmherst3-130.00
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 1270
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.91   Natl Power Rank 1270
Natl SOS Rating 81.11   Natl SOS Rank 769
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.00   Natl Quality Win Rank 1356
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1383
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.0



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