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Williamsville North Spartans (11-8)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Matt Smart

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/22at Sweet Home (11-9)NY B Sec 688.010W12- 5 0.225  
3/24at Penn Yan (16-7)NY C Sec 596.2L1-12 -0.075  
3/31at Amherst (10-10)NY B Sec 688.79W7- 5 0.300  
4/04HAMBURG (17-4)NY B Sec 693.93L4- 7 -0.225  
4/19at Jamestown (2-14)NY A Sec 672.1W16- 1 0.000  
4/23WEST SENECA WEST (6-11)NY A Sec 682.3W9- 2 0.075  
4/25LANCASTER (7-9)NY A Sec 684.8W10- 6 0.125  
4/27NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (16-3)NY A Sec 696.32L9-17 -0.125  
5/01NORTH TONAWANDA (0-14)NY A Sec 669.8W19- 0 0.000  
5/04at Clarence (11-8)NY A Sec 687.0L6- 9 -0.275  
5/05GRAND ISLAND (7-10)NY B Sec 683.9W8- 6 0.125  
5/07at Lockport (6-12)NY A Sec 678.2W15- 6 0.050  
5/09at Orchard Park (16-5)NY A Sec 697.31L4-17 -0.025  
5/11at Williamsville South (4-13)NY B Sec 679.3W12- 4 0.100  
5/15at Frontier (14-5)NY A Sec 693.54L7-11 -0.150  
5/17at West Seneca East (13-5)NY B Sec 690.27L1- 3 -0.225  
5/22at Williamsville East (9-10)NY B Sec 684.9W16- 9 0.200  
5/25at Clarence (11-8)NY A Sec 687.0W10- 5 0.225  
5/30at Orchard Park (16-5)NY A Sec 697.31L2-13 -0.025  
 87.3     0.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/22ASweet Home12-57   1       ++1.39       5.81
3/24APenn Yan1-12-11   -7       –1.26       -3.54
3/31AAmherst7-52   -2       ++1.39       4.36
4/04HHamburg4-7-3   -1       –-1.39       -2.33
4/19AJamestown16-115   15       1.39       0.18
4/23HWest Seneca West9-27   7       -1.39       0.24
4/25HLancaster10-64   5       -1.39       -0.86
4/27HNiagara Wheatfield9-17-8   -5       –-1.39       -3.12
5/01HNorth Tonawanda19-019   21       -1.39       -1.50
5/04AClarence6-9-3   1       ––1.39       -4.14
5/05HGrand Island8-62   5       –-1.39       -2.82
5/07ALockport15-69   8       1.39       1.22
5/09AOrchard Park4-17-13   -9       –1.39       -3.93
5/11AWilliamsville South12-48   6       1.39       1.53
5/15AFrontier7-11-4   -4       1.39       0.01
5/17AWest Seneca East1-3-2   -1       1.39       -1.23
5/22AWilliamsville East16-97   2       ++1.39       4.65
5/25AClarence10-55   1       +1.39       3.86
5/30AOrchard Park2-13-11   -9       1.39       -1.93
         0.00-3.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/24APenn Yan1-121.00
4/19AJamestown16-1-0.18
5/01HNorth Tonawanda19-01.50
5/09AOrchard Park4-173.00
5/30AOrchard Park2-131.00
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 89.   Natl CCR Rank 706
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.97   Natl Power Rank 706
Natl SOS Rating 84.29   Natl SOS Rank 453
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.30   Natl Quality Win Rank 765
W-L Pct Rating 0.58   W-L Pct Rank 987
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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