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Winter Park Wildcats (19-6)

Region: FL 6B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Ryan Healy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/12	at University (2-13)	FL 9B Centrl	76.2		W	14-	1		0.000
2/14	at Dr. Phillips (1-14)	FL 8B Centrl	72.4		W	20-	0		0.000
2/17	SAINT ANDREWS (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0		L	12-	16		-0.225
2/20	FREEDOM (9-7)	FL 9B Centrl	82.5		W	15-	3		0.000
2/21	at Boone (11-8)	FL 6B Centrl	85.3		W	17-	2		0.000
3/01	WEST ORANGE (5-13)	FL 8B Centrl	78.5		W	24-	0		0.000
3/03	at Saint Andrews (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0		L	5-	16		-0.150
3/05	at Ocoee (5-9)	FL 8B Centrl	78.0		W	16-	2		0.000
3/08	at Winter Springs (12-3)	FL 5B Centrl	93.8	2	W	8-	7		0.300
3/12	at Tampa Catholic (5-7)	FL 6B Centrl	81.1		W	17-	6		0.000
3/13	at Nease (15-8)	FL 3B Centrl	92.0	5	W	12-	5		0.250
3/14	vs. McDonogh # (19-5)	MD A MIAA	98.1		L	2-	20		-0.125
3/20	LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (13-5)	FL 7B Centrl	91.3	6	W	13-	5		0.125
3/21	TIMBER CREEK (14-3)	FL 9B Centrl	92.3	4	W	14-	12		0.125
3/23	at Bishop Moore (11-8)	FL 7B Centrl	90.0	8	L	5-	14		-0.325
3/26	at Edgewater (9-7)	FL 7B Centrl	85.4		W	21-	10		0.000
3/28	at Olympia (7-9)	FL 7B Centrl	83.8		W	11-	3		0.000
3/29	at Lake Brantley (18-4)	FL 4B Centrl	94.3	1	W	10-	7		0.275
4/03	GULLIVER PREP (13-8)	FL Dist-1	89.5		W	9-	8		0.125
4/07	COLD SPRING HARBOR (17-2)	NY C Sec 8	97.7		L	2-	6		-0.175
4/12	BOONE (11-8)	FL 6B Centrl	85.3		W	17-	5		0.000
4/18	vs. Maclay # (11-6)	FL 1B Centrl	85.8		W	11-	4		0.000
4/20	vs. Timber Creek # (14-3)	FL 9B Centrl	92.3	4	W	18-	12		0.150
4/27	vs. Lake Brantley # (18-4)	FL 4B Centrl	94.3	1	W	9-	6		0.250
4/28	vs. Saint Andrews # (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0		L	4-	16		-0.200
# Neutral site			87.0						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/12	A	University	14-	1	13	18	––	1.59	-5.45
2/14	A	Dr. Phillips	20-	0	20	20		1.59	-0.45
2/17	H	Saint Andrews	12-	16	-4	-1	–	-1.23		-2.77
2/20	H	Freedom	15-	3	12	15	–	-1.59	-2.60
2/21	A	Boone	17-	2	15	10	++	1.59	4.75
3/01	H	West Orange	24-	0	24	20	++	-1.59	4.26
3/03	A	Saint Andrews	5-	16	-11	-4	–––	1.23		-7.32
3/05	A	Ocoee	16-	2	14	16		1.59	-1.88
3/08	A	Winter Springs	8-	7	1	-2	+	1.59	2.98
3/12	A	Tampa Catholic	17-	6	11	11		1.59	0.03
3/13	A	Nease	12-	5	7	0	+++	1.59	6.81
3/14	N	McDonogh	2-	20	-18	-5	–––	0.00		13.44
3/20	H	Lake Highland Prep	13-	5	8	5	+	-1.59	2.85
3/21	H	Timber Creek	14-	12	2	5	–	-1.59	-3.12
3/23	A	Bishop Moore	5-	14	-9	3	–––	1.59	12.33
3/26	A	Edgewater	21-	10	11	10		1.59	0.96
3/28	A	Olympia	11-	3	8	10		1.59	-1.99
3/29	A	Lake Brantley	10-	7	3	-1	++	1.59	4.25
4/03	H	Gulliver Prep	9-	8	1	5	––	-1.23		-4.23
4/07	H	Cold Spring Harbor	2-	6	-4	-3		-1.36		-1.22
4/12	H	Boone	17-	5	12	13		-1.59	-1.43
4/18	N	Maclay	11-	4	7	10	–	0.00	-2.77
4/20	N	Timber Creek	18-	12	6	4	+	0.00	2.47
4/27	N	Lake Brantley	9-	6	3	0	+	0.00	2.66
4/28	N	Saint Andrews	4-	16	-12	-2	–––	0.00		-9.54
									0.00	-38.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/12	A	University	14-	1	5.45
2/14	A	Dr. Phillips	20-	0	0.45
2/20	H	Freedom	15-	3	2.60
2/21	A	Boone	17-	2	-4.75
3/01	H	West Orange	24-	0	-4.26
3/03	A	Saint Andrews	5-	16	1.00
3/05	A	Ocoee	16-	2	1.88
3/12	A	Tampa Catholic	17-	6	-0.03
3/14	N	McDonogh	2-	20	8.00
3/26	A	Edgewater	21-	10	-0.96
4/12	H	Boone	17-	5	1.43
4/28	N	Saint Andrews	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.51

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	267
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.54		Natl Power Rank	267
Natl SOS Rating	84.11		Natl SOS Rank	467
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	752
W-L Pct Rating	0.76		W-L Pct Rank	388
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	6-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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