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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Winter Springs Bears (12-3)

Region: FL 5B CentrlState: FL

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/15BISHOP MOORE (11-8)FL 7B Centrl90.08W17- 5 0.075  
2/16PINE CREST (9-12)FL Dist-279.8W17- 3 0.000  
2/22at Oviedo (10-8)FL 5B Centrl86.6W15- 3 0.050  
2/23at Flagler Palm Coast (6-8)FL 3B Centrl81.5W16- 5 0.000  
2/27LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (13-5)FL 7B Centrl91.36W18-11 0.100  
2/28LYMAN (5-12)FL 4B Centrl78.8W24- 5 0.000  
3/02GULLIVER PREP (13-8)FL Dist-189.5W12- 7 0.100  
3/06LAKE HOWELL (7-7)FL 5B Centrl84.5W16- 1 0.000  
3/08WINTER PARK (19-6)FL 6B Centrl93.53L7- 8 -0.300  
3/23at Lake Mary (11-6)FL 4B Centrl87.210W16- 7 0.075  
3/27at Lake Brantley (18-4)FL 4B Centrl94.31L5- 8 -0.225  
3/29NEASE (15-8)FL 3B Centrl92.05W10- 3 0.150  
4/03at Seminole (2-12)FL 4B Centrl77.3W17- 1 0.000  
4/13OVIEDO (10-8)FL 5B Centrl86.6W15- 5 0.000  
4/18vs. Timber Creek # (14-3)FL 9B Centrl92.34L5- 9 -0.350  
# Neutral site 86.2     -0.32  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/15HBishop Moore17-512   7       ++-1.59       5.10
2/16HPine Crest17-314   15       -1.23       -1.28
2/22AOviedo15-312   8       ++1.59       4.46
2/23AFlagler Palm Coast16-511   13       1.59       -2.20
2/27HLake Highland Prep18-117   6       -1.59       1.45
2/28HLyman24-519   19       -1.59       -0.42
3/02HGulliver Prep12-75   6       -1.23       -0.52
3/06HLake Howell16-115   13       -1.59       1.82
3/08HWinter Park7-8-1   2       -1.59       -2.98
3/23ALake Mary16-79   7       1.59       1.92
3/27ALake Brantley5-8-3   -1       1.59       -2.14
3/29HNease10-37   4       +-1.59       3.24
4/03ASeminole17-116   18       1.59       -1.60
4/13HOviedo15-510   11       -1.59       -0.72
4/18NTimber Creek5-9-4   4       –––0.00       -7.92
         0.00-1.80

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/15HBishop Moore17-5-2.00
2/16HPine Crest17-31.28
2/22AOviedo15-3-2.00
2/23AFlagler Palm Coast16-52.20
2/28HLyman24-50.42
3/06HLake Howell16-1-1.82
4/03ASeminole17-11.60
4/13HOviedo15-50.72
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 94.   Natl CCR Rank 219
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 93.83   Natl Power Rank 219
Natl SOS Rating 81.75   Natl SOS Rank 698
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.32   Natl Quality Win Rank 1894
W-L Pct Rating 0.80   W-L Pct Rank 252
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.3



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