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Waltham Hawks (3-15)

Conference: Greater Boston

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Steve Duffy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	XAVERIAN BROS (22-1)	MA 1	97.6	1	L	7-	16		-0.050
4/05	at Duxbury (18-4)	MA 1	96.6	3	L	5-	15		0.000
4/12	MEDFORD (0-17)	MA 1	76.0		W	12-	2		0.000
4/13	at Cambridge Rindge/Latin (6-8)	MA 1	83.0		W	13-	3		0.100
4/17	WESTFORD ACADEMY (12-8)	MA 1	90.5		W	12-	2		0.250
4/19	ST JOHNS SHREWSBURY (18-3)	MA 2	92.0		L	7-	9		-0.150
4/21	at Acton Boxborough (10-11)	MA 1	90.4		L	8-	9	ot	-0.175
4/24	at Arlington (13-7)	MA 2	90.9		L	6-	13		-0.150
4/26	at Winchester (12-8)	MA 2	90.1		L	1-	5		-0.175
4/27	PEABODY (13-6)	MA 1	91.7		L	4-	10		-0.175
4/30	at Lexington HS (16-5)	MA 1	92.1		L	6-	9		-0.150
5/03	at Catholic Memorial (12-8)	MA 2	92.3		L	7-	12		-0.075
5/05	HINGHAM (11-10)	MA 2	90.8		L	5-	8		-0.200
5/11	at Chelmsford (13-10)	MA 1	90.8		L	1-	8		-0.150
5/15	ARLINGTON (13-7)	MA 2	90.9		L	9-	10	ot	-0.225
5/17	at Peabody (13-6)	MA 1	91.7		L	3-	13		-0.125
5/21	ANDOVER HS (16-5)	MA 1	93.3	10	L	11-	13		-0.175
5/23	ST JOHNS PREP DANVERS (12-8)	MA 1	93.0		L	4-	12		-0.125
			90.5						-1.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Xaverian Bros	7-	16	-9	-8		-1.16	-0.63
4/05	A	Duxbury	5-	15	-10	-11		1.16	0.74
4/12	H	Medford	12-	2	10	12	–	-1.16	-2.28
4/13	A	Cambridge Rindge/Latin	13-	3	10	6	++	1.16	4.31
4/17	H	Westford Academy	12-	2	10	0	+++	-1.16	10.19
4/19	H	St Johns Shrewsbury	7-	9	-2	-4		-0.74		1.69
4/21	A	Acton Boxborough	8-	9	-1	-3	+	1.16	2.46
4/24	A	Arlington	6-	13	-7	-4	–	1.16	-3.30
4/26	A	Winchester	1-	5	-4	-3		1.16	-1.02
4/27	H	Peabody	4-	10	-6	-3	–	-1.16	-3.32
4/30	A	Lexington HS	6-	9	-3	-4		1.16	1.34
5/03	A	Catholic Memorial	7-	12	-5	-7	+	1.16	2.29
5/05	H	Hingham	5-	8	-3	-2		-1.16	-1.19
5/11	A	Chelmsford	1-	8	-7	-4	–	1.16	-3.10
5/15	H	Arlington	9-	10	-1	-1		-1.16	0.38
5/17	A	Peabody	3-	13	-10	-5	––	1.16	-5.00
5/21	H	Andover HS	11-	13	-2	-3		-1.16	1.32
5/23	H	St Johns Prep Danvers	4-	12	-8	-5	–	-1.16	-3.19
									0.00	1.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Duxbury	5-	15	-0.74
4/12	H	Medford	12-	2	2.28
4/13	A	Cambridge Rindge/Latin	13-	3	0.00
4/17	H	Westford Academy	12-	2	0.00
5/17	A	Peabody	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	740
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.57		Natl Power Rank	740
Natl SOS Rating	90.53		Natl SOS Rank	115
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	2740
W-L Pct Rating	0.17		W-L Pct Rank	2304
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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