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William Allen Canaries (3-11)

Region: PA PVLL-LV

State: PA

Coach: Mark Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Nazareth HS (7-9)	PA PVLL-LV	83.3		W	5-	3		0.325
3/31	WILSON WEST LAWN (11-5)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		L	5-	6	3ot	-0.250
4/05	BETHLEHEM AREA (3-6)	PA Indep	83.1		L	3-	7		-0.225
4/14	at Wilson West Lawn (11-5)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		L	4-	9		-0.200
4/17	SAUCON VALLEY (4-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.7		L	6-	9		-0.275
4/21	GOVERNOR MIFFLIN (7-8)	PA PVLL-BC	82.0		W	7-	3		0.200
4/25	ALLENTOWN CATH CENTRAL (10-10)	PA PVLL-LV	86.7		L	6-	11		-0.075
4/26	EMMAUS (15-5)	PA PVLL-LV	92.9		L	1-	18		0.000
4/28	at Easton (12-5)	PA PVLL-LV	91.4		L	2-	14		0.000
5/01	PARKLAND (11-5)	PA PVLL-LV	90.0		L	3-	21		0.000
5/02	at Moravian Academy (7-9)	PA PVLL-LV	85.4		L	6-	16		-0.025
5/03	at Southern Lehigh (10-7)	PA PVLL-LV	89.0		L	0-	14		0.000
5/06	CONRAD WEISER (13-8)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		W	11-	10	ot	0.275
5/07	at Bethlehem Area (3-6)	PA Indep	83.1			-
5/15	at Emmaus (15-5)	PA PVLL-LV	92.9		L	1-	20		0.000
			80.0						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Nazareth HS	5-	3	2	-3	++	1.29	5.04
3/31	H	Wilson West Lawn	5-	6	-1	0		-1.29	-1.11
4/05	H	Bethlehem Area	3-	7	-4	-1	–	-1.29	-2.76
4/14	A	Wilson West Lawn	4-	9	-5	-2	–	1.29	-2.53
4/17	H	Saucon Valley	6-	9	-3	1	––	-1.29	-4.14
4/21	H	Governor Mifflin	7-	3	4	2		-1.29	1.66
4/25	H	Allentown Cath Central	6-	11	-5	-7	+	-1.29	2.07
4/26	H	Emmaus	1-	18	-17	-16		-1.29	-1.08
4/28	A	Easton	2-	14	-12	-17	++	1.29	4.57
5/01	H	Parkland	3-	21	-18	-14	–	-1.29	-3.83
5/02	A	Moravian Academy	6-	16	-10	-9		1.29	-0.65
5/03	A	Southern Lehigh	0-	14	-14	-15		1.29	0.77
5/06	H	Conrad Weiser	11-	10	1	-1	+	-1.29	2.49
5/15	A	Emmaus	1-	20	-19	-19		1.29	-0.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/26	H	Emmaus	1-	18	1.08
4/28	A	Easton	2-	14	-4.57
5/01	H	Parkland	3-	21	3.83
5/02	A	Moravian Academy	6-	16	0.00
5/03	A	Southern Lehigh	0-	14	-0.77
5/15	A	Emmaus	1-	20	0.50
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1425
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.49		Natl Power Rank	1425
Natl SOS Rating	69.50		Natl SOS Rank	1971
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	1762
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	2210
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.7


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