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Wilmington New Hanover Wildcats (1-11)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Pat Horning

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/03	EAST CHAPEL HILL (17-5)	NC 4A	92.3	5	L	4-	15		0.000
3/13	at Cape Fear Academy (6-10)	NC Prvate	80.7		L	7-	17		0.000
3/17	CHARLOTTE MYERS PARK (10-9)	NC 4A	82.1		L	1-	9		-0.075
3/24	BROUGHTON-NEEDHAM (10-8)	NC 4A	79.8		L	6-	16		-0.125
3/27	at Wilmington Ashley (1-7)	NC 4A	75.5		L	6-	12		-0.100
4/10	at Wilmington Hoggard (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	L	4-	18		0.000
4/12	DURHAM JORDAN (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		L	8-	20		0.000
4/13	WILMINGTON LANEY (5-7)	NC 4A	81.2		L	4-	15		-0.075
4/20	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (6-10)	NC Prvate	80.7		L	5-	8		-0.075
4/24	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	L	2-	18		0.000
4/27	WILMINGTON ASHLEY (1-7)	NC 4A	75.5		W	8-	7		0.350
5/01	at Wilmington Laney (5-7)	NC 4A	81.2		L	5-	8		-0.025
			84.7						-0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/03	H	East Chapel Hill	4-	15	-11	-16	++	-0.74	4.58
3/13	A	Cape Fear Academy	7-	17	-10	-10		1.20		-0.46
3/17	H	Charlotte Myers Park	1-	9	-8	-7		-0.74	-0.82
3/24	H	Broughton-Needham	6-	16	-10	-5	––	-0.74	-4.89
3/27	A	Wilmington Ashley	6-	12	-6	-6		0.74	-0.32
4/10	A	Wilmington Hoggard	4-	18	-14	-13		0.74	-0.85
4/12	H	Durham Jordan	8-	20	-12	-12		-0.74	-0.37
4/13	H	Wilmington Laney	4-	15	-11	-7	–	-0.74	-3.84
4/20	H	Cape Fear Academy	5-	8	-3	-7	++	-1.20		4.14
4/24	H	Wilmington Hoggard	2-	18	-16	-12	––	-0.74	-4.32
4/27	H	Wilmington Ashley	8-	7	1	-4	++	-0.74	5.20
5/01	A	Wilmington Laney	5-	8	-3	-9	++	0.74	5.64
									0.00	3.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/03	H	East Chapel Hill	4-	15	-4.58
3/13	A	Cape Fear Academy	7-	17	0.00
3/24	H	Broughton-Needham	6-	16	0.00
4/10	A	Wilmington Hoggard	4-	18	0.85
4/12	H	Durham Jordan	8-	20	0.37
4/13	H	Wilmington Laney	4-	15	1.00
4/24	H	Wilmington Hoggard	2-	18	4.32
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2303
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.37		Natl Power Rank	2303
Natl SOS Rating	78.67		Natl SOS Rank	1031
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1642
W-L Pct Rating	0.08		W-L Pct Rank	2472
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0


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