| Region: MD 43 West | State: MD | Coach: Colin Thomson |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | at Poolesville (5-11) | MD 21 West | 72.6 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/27 | BLAKE (3-11) | MD 43 West | 71.7 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/31 | WESTMINSTER (12-6) | MD 43 North | 89.1 | | W | 9- | 2 | | 0.175 |
3/31 | THE HEIGHTS (9-10) | MD MILL | 84.0 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.025 |
4/12 | at Churchill (11-3) | MD 43 West | 89.2 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.225 |
4/14 | WALTER JOHNSON (10-6) | MD 43 West | 84.9 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.100 |
4/18 | QUINCE ORCHARD (7-7) | MD 43 North | 80.1 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/20 | at Richard Montgomery (3-10) | MD 43 North | 71.8 | | W | 20- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/23 | WHITMAN (8-8) | MD 43 West | 84.1 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.075 |
4/26 | at Watkins Mill (5-11) | MD 43 North | 73.8 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/30 | SENECA VALLEY (13-2) | MD 32 West | 84.7 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.025 |
5/02 | DAMASCUS (7-9) | MD 43 North | 79.1 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/04 | at NorthWest (3-10) | MD 43 North | 72.3 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | at Magruder (3-11) | MD 43 North | 71.4 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | SHERWOOD (7-9) | MD 43 West | 81.3 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.050 |
5/14 | WALTER JOHNSON (10-6) | MD 43 West | 84.9 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.100 |
5/16 | SPRINGBROOK (13-2) | MD 43 West | 88.8 | | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.150 |
5/18 | vs. Dulaney # (14-5) | MD 43 South | 93.1 | 4 | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.350 |
5/23 | vs. Severna Park # (18-2) | MD 43 East | 96.8 | 1 | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.075 |
| # Neutral site | | 81.4 | | | | | | 1.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | A | Poolesville | 13- | 3 | 10 | 16 | ––– | 0.72 | -6.29 | |
3/27 | H | Blake | 14- | 2 | 12 | 16 | –– | -0.72 | -4.08 | |
3/31 | H | Westminster | 9- | 2 | 7 | 3 | + | -0.72 | 3.97 | |
3/31 | H | The Heights | 13- | 3 | 10 | 9 | | -1.10 | | 0.57 |
4/12 | A | Churchill | 8- | 6 | 2 | 1 | | 0.72 | 1.15 | |
4/14 | H | Walter Johnson | 11- | 4 | 7 | 6 | | -0.72 | 0.80 | |
4/18 | H | Quince Orchard | 17- | 3 | 14 | 11 | + | -0.72 | 2.97 | |
4/20 | A | Richard Montgomery | 20- | 2 | 18 | 16 | | 0.72 | 1.79 | |
4/23 | H | Whitman | 17- | 3 | 14 | 7 | +++ | -0.72 | 7.22 | |
4/26 | A | Watkins Mill | 12- | 3 | 9 | 16 | ––– | 0.72 | -6.95 | |
4/30 | H | Seneca Valley | 10- | 2 | 8 | 9 | | -0.72 | -0.84 | |
5/02 | H | Damascus | 18- | 3 | 15 | 12 | + | -0.72 | 3.27 | |
5/04 | A | NorthWest | 19- | 3 | 16 | 17 | | 0.72 | -0.53 | |
5/08 | A | Magruder | 17- | 2 | 15 | 17 | | 0.72 | -1.51 | |
5/12 | H | Sherwood | 12- | 6 | 6 | 8 | – | -0.72 | -2.29 | |
5/14 | H | Walter Johnson | 10- | 9 | 1 | 6 | –– | -0.72 | -5.20 | |
5/16 | H | Springbrook | 15- | 8 | 7 | 4 | + | -0.72 | 2.73 | |
5/18 | N | Dulaney | 9- | 7 | 2 | -4 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.84 | |
5/23 | N | Severna Park | 6- | 15 | -9 | -7 | – | 0.00 | -2.05 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/22 | A | Poolesville | 13- | 3 | 6.29 |
3/27 | H | Blake | 14- | 2 | 4.08 |
3/31 | H | The Heights | 13- | 3 | 0.00 |
4/18 | H | Quince Orchard | 17- | 3 | -2.96 |
4/20 | A | Richard Montgomery | 20- | 2 | -1.79 |
4/23 | H | Whitman | 17- | 3 | -4.00 |
5/02 | H | Damascus | 18- | 3 | -3.27 |
5/04 | A | NorthWest | 19- | 3 | 0.52 |
5/08 | A | Magruder | 17- | 2 | 1.51 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.02 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 469 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.32 | | Natl Power Rank | 469 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 73.00 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1586 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 159 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.95 | | W-L Pct Rank | 36 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 8.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
| 
