| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Jon Fitzgerald |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/23 | ROBINSON (18-2) | VA Concord | 96.4 | 1 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.175 |
3/27 | THOS JEFFERSON (7-7) | VA Liberty | 88.0 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.100 |
3/30 | at South Lakes (4-8) | VA Liberty | 82.3 | | W | 14- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/03 | APEX (15-5) | NC 4A | 92.8 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.275 |
4/09 | MARSHALL (2-10) | VA Liberty | 78.9 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | at Landon (15-5) | DC IAC | 97.5 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.100 |
4/24 | MADISON (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.0 | 9 | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/26 | at Langley (12-4) | VA Liberty | 93.0 | 5 | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.275 |
4/28 | WESTFIELD (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.250 |
4/30 | at McLean (5-11) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.150 |
5/02 | at Stone Bridge (4-9) | VA Liberty | 82.1 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | MARSHALL (2-10) | VA Liberty | 78.9 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | MCLEAN (5-11) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.075 |
5/11 | vs. Langley # (12-4) | VA Liberty | 93.0 | 5 | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.250 |
5/15 | LOUDOUN VALLEY (9-8) | VA Dulles | 81.8 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | OAKTON (8-7) | VA Concord | 92.1 | 6 | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.250 |
5/21 | WESTFIELD (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 4- | 7 | | -0.250 |
5/23 | CHANTILLY (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | W | 6- | 5 | ot | 0.200 |
5/29 | at North Stafford (17-3) | VA Comw | 92.5 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.275 |
5/31 | vs. Westfield # (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.225 |
| # Neutral site | | 89.0 | | | | | | 0.48 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/23 | H | Robinson | 7- | 8 | -1 | -3 | | -1.19 | 1.66 | |
3/27 | H | Thos Jefferson | 10- | 5 | 5 | 6 | | -1.19 | -0.64 | |
3/30 | A | South Lakes | 14- | 1 | 13 | 10 | + | 1.19 | 3.21 | |
4/03 | H | Apex | 4- | 10 | -6 | 1 | ––– | -0.96 | | -7.23 |
4/09 | H | Marshall | 15- | 1 | 14 | 15 | | -1.19 | -0.82 | |
4/10 | A | Landon | 5- | 12 | -7 | -6 | | 1.26 | | -1.35 |
4/24 | H | Madison | 13- | 5 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -1.19 | 5.02 | |
4/26 | A | Langley | 10- | 4 | 6 | -1 | +++ | 1.19 | 7.32 | |
4/28 | H | Westfield | 6- | 9 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.19 | -3.16 | |
4/30 | A | McLean | 10- | 4 | 6 | 4 | | 1.19 | 1.52 | |
5/02 | A | Stone Bridge | 12- | 6 | 6 | 10 | –– | 1.19 | -4.03 | |
5/07 | H | Marshall | 12- | 1 | 11 | 15 | – | -1.19 | -3.82 | |
5/09 | H | McLean | 7- | 5 | 2 | 7 | –– | -1.19 | -4.86 | |
5/11 | N | Langley | 9- | 7 | 2 | 0 | + | 0.00 | 2.12 | |
5/15 | H | Loudoun Valley | 14- | 2 | 12 | 13 | | -1.56 | | -0.89 |
5/17 | H | Oakton | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | -1.19 | 0.83 | |
5/21 | H | Westfield | 4- | 7 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.19 | -3.16 | |
5/23 | H | Chantilly | 6- | 5 | 1 | 2 | | -1.19 | -1.18 | |
5/29 | A | North Stafford | 9- | 8 | 1 | -1 | | 1.44 | | 1.83 |
5/31 | N | Westfield | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | 0.03 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -7.64 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/30 | A | South Lakes | 14- | 1 | -3.21 |
4/09 | H | Marshall | 15- | 1 | 0.82 |
5/07 | H | Marshall | 12- | 1 | 3.83 |
5/15 | H | Loudoun Valley | 14- | 2 | 0.89 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 257 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.11 | | Natl Power Rank | 257 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.88 | | Natl SOS Rank | 274 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.48 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 683 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.70 | | W-L Pct Rank | 580 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
|
