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Western Reserve Acad Pioneers (16-3)

Conference: MIDWESTRegion: OH 1 IndepState: OHCoach: Skip Flanagan

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/12at Brophy Prep (15-5)AZ Div-194.8W8- 5 0.175  
3/14at Chaparral (11-6)AZ Div-190.6W13- 6 0.075  
3/18vs. Severn # (10-8)MD A MIAA95.7W9- 8 0.175  
3/20at St Paul's (14-4)MD A MIAA98.4L8-10 -0.225  
3/22at Calvert Hall (5-7)MD A MIAA95.7L5-14 -0.300  
3/24at Gilman (7-9)MD A MIAA95.3W13- 8 0.200  
4/07DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (12-10)MI 290.1W16- 6 0.000  
4/11at Shady Side Academy (8-10)PA 1DNORTH91.1W16- 5 0.100  
4/14FRANKLIN REGIONAL (8-10)PA 1DSOUTH92.3W14- 3 0.075  
4/15MOUNT LEBANON (14-6)PA 1DSOUTH95.7W14- 8 0.150  
4/18at Sewickley Academy (4-12)PA 1DNORTH87.5W11- 6 0.000  
4/22CULVER ACADEMY (16-6)IN Indep92.9W16- 3 0.075  
4/25at North Allegheny (13-6)PA 1DNORTH93.6W20- 9 0.150  
4/28at Dublin Scioto (11-9)OH 1 Reg 292.9W19- 6 0.075  
5/09WOOSTER (7-14)OH 1 Reg 386.8W14- 4 0.000  
5/12ARCHBISHOP MOELLER (16-5)OH 1 Reg 496.75W16-13 0.100  
5/17at Medina (8-8)OH 1 Reg 390.9W19- 5 0.000  
5/19vs. Worthington Kilbourne # (15-7)OH 1 Reg 296.26W16- 6 0.075  
5/20vs. Upper Arlington # (20-1)OH 1 Reg 198.81L5- 7 -0.275  
# Neutral site 91.5     0.63  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/12ABrophy Prep8-53   3       0.95       0.23
3/14AChaparral13-67   7       0.95       0.04
3/18NSevern9-81   3       0.00       -1.77
3/20ASt Paul's8-10-2   -1       1.10       -0.96
3/22ACalvert Hall5-14-9   2       –––1.10       -10.64
3/24AGilman13-85   2       +1.10       2.94
4/07HDetroit Country Day16-610   10       -1.27       0.40
4/11AShady Side Academy16-511   6       ++1.17       4.79
4/14HFranklin Regional14-311   7       +-1.17       3.70
4/15HMount Lebanon14-86   4       +-1.17       2.01
4/18ASewickley Academy11-65   10       ––1.17       -4.79
4/22HCulver Academy16-313   7       ++-1.77       5.71
4/25ANorth Allegheny20-911   4       +++1.17       7.30
4/28ADublin Scioto19-613   7       +++0.87       6.26
5/09HWooster14-410   16       ––-0.87       -5.57
5/12HArchbishop Moeller16-133   6       –-0.87       -3.30
5/17AMedina19-514   12       +0.87       2.05
5/19NWorthington Kilbourne16-610   7       +0.00       3.38
5/20NUpper Arlington5-7-2   1       –0.00       -2.81
         0.008.96

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/07HDetroit Country Day16-6-0.40
4/11AShady Side Academy16-5-1.00
4/14HFranklin Regional14-3-1.00
4/22HCulver Academy16-3-3.00
4/25ANorth Allegheny20-9-1.00
4/28ADublin Scioto19-6-3.00
5/09HWooster14-45.57
5/17AMedina19-5-2.05
5/19NWorthington Kilbourne16-60.00
10-goal correction: -0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 195.   Natl CCR Rank 18
Natl Poll Vote 97.   Natl Poll Rank 23
Natl Power Rating 98.47   Natl Power Rank 17
Natl SOS Rating 92.70   Natl SOS Rank 62
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.63   Natl Quality Win Rank 486
W-L Pct Rating 0.84   W-L Pct Rank 167
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.3



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