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Westlake (7-10)

Region: OH 2 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: Dave Forrest

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	CHAGRIN FALLS (5-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.0		L	1-	12		-0.225
3/27	at Gilmour Academy (12-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8	8	L	1-	11		-0.050
4/03	MENTOR (2-13)	OH 1 Reg 3	75.6		W	9-	4		0.200
4/17	at Solon (8-7)	OH 2 Reg 2	83.6		L	4-	15		-0.025
4/20	LAKE LC (6-9)	OH 4 North	80.9		W	9-	5		0.325
4/21	WEST GEAUGA (4-13)	OH 2 Reg 1	70.3		W	10-	3		0.075
4/24	at St Edward/Eagle (12-4)	OH 4 North	87.1		L	4-	16		0.000
4/27	BAY VILLAGE (4-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	70.3		W	11-	0		0.025
4/28	CLEVELAND BENEDICTINE (3-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	71.6		W	9-	3		0.125
5/02	at Shaker Heights (7-7)	OH 1 Reg 3	86.2		L	6-	13		0.000
5/03	N-D CATHEDRAL LATIN (0-11)	OH 4 North	74.3		W	19-	1		0.175
5/08	at Rocky River (7-11)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.5		L	11-	15		-0.150
5/11	BEACHWOOD (2-13)	OH 2 Reg 2	64.3		W	20-	1		0.000
5/12	UNIVERSITY SCHOOL (10-8)	OH 2 Reg 1	88.1	4	L	2-	13		0.000
5/15	HAWKEN SCHOOL (12-11)	OH 2 Reg 2	85.8	7	L	8-	16		-0.025
5/18	at Revere (9-8)	OH 2 Reg 2	79.6		L	7-	10		-0.150
5/21	at St Francis de Sales (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8	10	L	7-	10		-0.050
			78.9						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Chagrin Falls	1-	12	-11	-1	–––	-1.68	10.40
3/27	A	Gilmour Academy	1-	11	-10	-8	–	1.68	-2.05
4/03	H	Mentor	9-	4	5	2	+	-1.28		2.91
4/17	A	Solon	4-	15	-11	-9		1.68	-1.62
4/20	H	Lake LC	9-	5	4	-3	+++	-1.30		7.19
4/21	H	West Geauga	10-	3	7	7		-1.68	0.05
4/24	A	St Edward/Eagle	4-	16	-12	-12		1.30		-0.06
4/27	H	Bay Village	11-	0	11	9		-1.68	1.52
4/28	H	Cleveland Benedictine	9-	3	6	5		-1.68	0.66
5/02	A	Shaker Heights	6-	13	-7	-11	++	1.28		4.04
5/03	H	N-D Cathedral Latin	19-	1	18	3	+++	-1.30		14.56
5/08	A	Rocky River	11-	15	-4	-4		1.68	0.05
5/11	H	Beachwood	20-	1	19	14	++	-1.68	4.53
5/12	H	University School	2-	13	-11	-11		-1.68	0.11
5/15	H	Hawken School	8-	16	-8	-9		-1.68	0.90
5/18	A	Revere	7-	10	-3	-4		1.68	0.98
5/21	A	St Francis de Sales	7-	10	-3	-8	++	1.68	5.26
									0.00	28.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Chagrin Falls	1-	12	1.00
3/27	A	Gilmour Academy	1-	11	0.00
4/17	A	Solon	4-	15	1.00
4/24	A	St Edward/Eagle	4-	16	0.06
4/27	H	Bay Village	11-	0	-1.00
5/03	H	N-D Cathedral Latin	19-	1	-8.00
5/11	H	Beachwood	20-	1	-4.53
5/12	H	University School	2-	13	-0.11
10-goal correction: -0.68

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2061
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.46		Natl Power Rank	2061
Natl SOS Rating	68.69		Natl SOS Rank	2044
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	850
W-L Pct Rating	0.41		W-L Pct Rank	1650
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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