| Region: VA Nationl | State: VA | Coach: Greg Beer |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/15 | MCLEAN (5-11) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.125 |
3/17 | MOUNT ST JOSEPH (9-6) | MD A MIAA | 95.5 | | L | 3- | 13 | | -0.200 |
3/23 | HERNDON (5-7) | VA Concord | 87.6 | | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.125 |
3/26 | WASHINGTON-LEE (4-10) | VA Nationl | 78.9 | | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/29 | at Edison (6-10) | VA Nationl | 82.7 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.050 |
4/13 | MOUNT VERNON (7-9) | VA Nationl | 83.1 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Chantilly (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | L | 5- | 8 | | -0.200 |
4/19 | at J.E.B. Stuart (4-8) | VA Nationl | 79.1 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Georgetown Prep (20-1) | DC IAC | 99.3 | | L | 0- | 14 | | -0.025 |
4/26 | at Falls Church (1-11) | VA Nationl | 71.7 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | WAKEFIELD HS (0-13) | VA Nationl | 67.9 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | FOREST PARK (10-5) | VA Card | 85.0 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.050 |
5/03 | at T.C. Williams (9-6) | VA Patriot | 87.1 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.150 |
5/07 | WAKEFIELD HS (0-13) | VA Nationl | 67.9 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | vs. Edison # (6-10) | VA Nationl | 82.7 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/11 | vs. Mount Vernon # (7-9) | VA Nationl | 83.1 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | MCLEAN (5-11) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.125 |
5/17 | WESTFIELD (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 83.3 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/15 | H | McLean | 16- | 5 | 11 | 5 | ++ | -1.19 | 5.83 | |
3/17 | H | Mount St Joseph | 3- | 13 | -10 | -2 | ––– | -1.26 | | -7.74 |
3/23 | H | Herndon | 10- | 4 | 6 | 5 | | -1.19 | 0.92 | |
3/26 | H | Washington-Lee | 11- | 2 | 9 | 13 | – | -1.19 | -3.99 | |
3/29 | A | Edison | 17- | 4 | 13 | 8 | ++ | 1.19 | 4.51 | |
4/13 | H | Mount Vernon | 12- | 3 | 9 | 12 | – | -1.19 | -2.58 | |
4/17 | A | Chantilly | 5- | 8 | -3 | -2 | | 1.19 | -1.11 | |
4/19 | A | J.E.B. Stuart | 13- | 6 | 7 | 10 | – | 1.19 | -2.98 | |
4/24 | A | Georgetown Prep | 0- | 14 | -14 | -9 | –– | 1.26 | | -5.39 |
4/26 | A | Falls Church | 16- | 5 | 11 | 15 | –– | 1.19 | -4.37 | |
4/27 | H | Wakefield HS | 17- | 2 | 15 | 21 | ––– | -1.19 | -6.18 | |
5/01 | H | Forest Park | 12- | 5 | 7 | 8 | | -1.44 | | -1.40 |
5/03 | A | T.C. Williams | 16- | 3 | 13 | 4 | +++ | 1.19 | 8.87 | |
5/07 | H | Wakefield HS | 19- | 1 | 18 | 21 | – | -1.19 | -3.18 | |
5/09 | N | Edison | 14- | 2 | 12 | 10 | + | 0.00 | 2.32 | |
5/11 | N | Mount Vernon | 16- | 3 | 13 | 10 | + | 0.00 | 2.61 | |
5/15 | H | McLean | 11- | 6 | 5 | 5 | | -1.19 | -0.17 | |
5/17 | H | Westfield | 6- | 8 | -2 | -2 | | -1.19 | -0.47 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -14.53 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/15 | H | McLean | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
3/17 | H | Mount St Joseph | 3- | 13 | 0.00 |
3/29 | A | Edison | 17- | 4 | -3.00 |
4/24 | A | Georgetown Prep | 0- | 14 | 4.00 |
4/26 | A | Falls Church | 16- | 5 | 4.37 |
4/27 | H | Wakefield HS | 17- | 2 | 6.18 |
5/03 | A | T.C. Williams | 16- | 3 | -3.00 |
5/07 | H | Wakefield HS | 19- | 1 | 3.18 |
5/09 | N | Edison | 14- | 2 | -2.32 |
5/11 | N | Mount Vernon | 16- | 3 | -2.61 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.32 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 351 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.98 | | Natl Power Rank | 351 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.42 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1242 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.00 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1490 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.78 | | W-L Pct Rank | 325 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.3 |
|
